Investor sentiment is supported by the information including the Italian newspaper La Stampa over the weekend that the IMF could provide assistance to Italy up to 600 billion if the debt crisis of the countries would increase. This would allow Italy to have a window of 12 to 18 months to implement budget cuts and reforms to strengthen economic growth. The information, which was denied by the United States, is again the IMF itself, which says this morning that no discussions with the Italian authorities have in that place.The worsening financial crisis in the eurozone weighed on the outlook for sovereign debt rating of all European countries, the rating agency warned Monday payday loans lenders.

The oil rises

In this context, the euro is progressing slowly against the greenback. In morning trading, the European currency is worth 1.3310 dollars. Oil is well oriented: a barrel of "light sweet crude" (WTI) for delivery in January of $ 1.63 is assessed at 98.40 dollars on the New York Mercantile Exchange and Brent crude from the sea North for the same maturity is 1.20 dollar to 107.60 dollars on the Intercontinental Exchange in London.

Side of the agenda, the economic outlook of the OECD are expected in the morning. Sales of new homes in the United States will be known in the afternoon.

Public debt crisis, threat of recession in western countries, job losses in banking, automobile … Nothing seems to affect Airbus and Boeing, who see a looming record year. Like ATR, the world leader in regional aircraft propeller, which flies from strength to strength.With three ATR 42-600 (50 seats) operated by the company in Dubai Siberian North Star, the manufacturer of Toulouse, a subsidiary of EADS and Finmeccanica, accumulated 148 orders since the beginning of the year. Historic levels for ATR and higher than the previous record of 2007 (113 orders). ATR now assumes 80% of the market for new aircraft from 40 to 90 seats, all confused engine (jet or turboprop).

With 221 orders and commitments announced in Dubai for $ 20.5 billion, Airbus also exceeded by mid-November 2011 its goal of 1,500 gross orders. "Our NEO A 320 was again the star of the show," welcomed John Leahy, Airbus chief executive, in charge of clients. Remotorisée version of best-selling Airbus to come into service in 2015, was commissioned to 130 copies in Dubai bringing its backlog to 1420 NEO.

With his experience of eight years at the head of the institution, who was also governor of the Banque de France, has recommended that Europeans hear the messages addressed to them. His advice? First, be "extra vigilant" with regard to public finances. Rejecting the idea that the euro area and its currency are "threatened" by the crisis, it nevertheless stated that "all countries without exception must be extremely careful." "Protect yourself rather than cure," he summarized, adding that "it depends on us that we can have the least slower growth."

Then you have to "think about the future," stressed the President of the ECB. "Tomorrow, I think we need to change the treaty to be able to prevent a member of the euro area to roam and create problems for everyone else," he said, referring to the Greek crisis that Europe in a hard to control cashadvance. He called for a reform that would make the European Council "able to impose decisions" in a country slide, with "possible sanctions".

It includes some of the "outraged"

"We must strengthen the management and governance of globalization in all fields," he also said in reacting to the movement of indignation that spreads in several major cities."There are obviously a number of lessons from the crisis that the lessons are harsh: it is not possible to leave a financial system and consequently a global economic system that is as fragile." This does not mean "demolish" the banks, he insisted, recalling that "pay three-quarters of the economy."

That he referred to as de-globalization theme is in vogue right now, as advocated by the Socialist-Arnaud Montebourg, and one can imagine Jean-Claude Trichet tense in his chair … and find that it is a call to strengthening of global economic governance.

How to make a hitch to his dog kibble? Appeal to teachers, as do the manufacturers for ages in their advertisements, not enough. It is also pet the pooches in the grain. Nestle, the world leader in animal nutrition with Purina (Friskies, Fido, Felix …), is launching this week at the Austrian television advertising directed at the first of the canine race! A 23-second spot that touts its brand Beneful. The brand hopes to honor "the unique relationship between dogs and their masters."

The matter was taken very seriously by Nestlé. The group uses its team of specialists in animal behavior, based in Missouri quick pay day loan. They have identified the sounds that dogs, whose hearing is two times finer than that of humans, are particularly susceptible.Beneful spot, which features a dog bowl in front of her and his mistress, and has a grinding noise similar to that of a dog toy, a barely audible hiss of humans and a fairly high-pitched signal. Dogs are supposed to react differently to advertising based on their "individual experience" and the games they are used with their master, provides Nestlé. Last year, Nestlé Purina was pioneered in Germany with scented billboards that opened the appetite of dogs for a walk.

U.S. investors have not received so favorably that the approval on Thursday afternoon of the German parliament to extend the relief fund of the euro area (EFSF).

U.S.: GDP growth rate revised upwards

On the macroeconomic front, the growth rate of GDP of the United States has been officially revised up Thursday, slightly more than analysts thought.Second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product grew 1.3% annualized compared to the previous three months, said the Commerce Department, revising and up 0.3 point its growth estimate released in late August .

On a seasonally adjusted, new jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 391,000 in the week of 18 to 24 September, against 428,000 the previous week.

Real estate side, the promise of sale of existing homes fell in August from 1.2% to 88.6, its lowest level since April. Economists polled by Reuters were expecting a sharper decline at -1.8%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro rose to 1.3593 displayed dollar (0.50%).A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November gained 93 cents to 82.14 dollars on the New York Mercantile Exchange where he had opened up more than two dollars.

Values ​​follow:

• LyondellBasell (-4.03% to 26.65 dollars)

French employees of the American specialist petrochemical voted on Thursday extended for 24 hours of their strike and blockade on all Group units in Berre (Bouches-du-Rhône), due to the closure of the refinery . Meeting in mid-day general meeting, they voted the renewal of the movement by a large majority.

• Advanced Micro Devices (-13.66% to 5.31 dollars)

The U.S. manufacturer of microprocessors said Wednesday it lowered its forecast for revenue and gross margin for the third quarter, partly because of production problems at a plant in Germany unsecured personal loans.The group now expects its revenue for the quarter ended October 1, increase by 4 to 6% over the second quarter against a previous forecast of 8 to 12%.

• Amazon (-3.16% to 222.44 dollars)

Internet group Amazon introduced its first multimedia tablet Wednesday, the Fire Kindle, sold half as much as the market leader, Apple's iPad, which promises to be a credible competitor. Sold $ 199 (against at least 499 dollars for an iPad) as of November 15, exclusively in the United States as a first step, the Kindle Fire is part of the range of reading lights Amazon Kindle has been declining for four years.

• Hewlett-Packard (2.54% to 23.78 dollars)

The U.S. computer group used the services of investment bank Goldman Sachs to help it defend itself against a possible hostile bid, said Wednesday the Wall Street Journal.Weakened by the collapse of its share price and the recent upheaval at the helm, the group was concerned that one or more shareholders trying to take control, the newspaper business, citing people familiar with the matter.

• Nokia (3.96 to 5.77 dollars)

The world of mobile phones said Thursday it plans to eliminate 3,500 jobs in Romania, Germany and the United States by the end of next year."Nokia plans to close its operations in Cluj, Romania, by the end of 2011 (…) and plans to close (its offices and commercial activities) in Bonn, Germany and Malvern, United States," by the end of next year, the company said in a statement.

• Ford (0.70% to $ 10)

The automaker plans to hire 7,000 people within two years the United States, ruling that the U.S. economy do not wipe recession.

• General Motors (1.71% to 20.76 dollars)

The group said Thursday that the new contract four-year agreement with the United Auto Workers (UAW) would have a financial impact "minimal".

The increase in compensation benefits, it at all tobacco shops alike. Paradoxical, because "the sale of tobacco as aids have allowed your average income increase by 57% between 2002 and 2010," as recalled by Valerie Pécresse to tobacconists, who held their annual conference in Paris Friday."In total, more than 1 billion euros that came with your support and profession, which has also benefited, for many of you, the effects of the reduction in VAT in catering."

"At least 10 cents more per pack"

In early 2003, a sharp rise in prices had collapsed sales and forced the closure of nearly 5,000 retailers. There remains 28,000. But since 2004, the price increase regular, moderate (6% per year since 2009) did not in fact impact on the number of cigarettes sold in tobacconists, to the dismay of supporters of tobacco control and Department of Health. As a result, sales of tobacco outlets rose year after year at the rate of inflation of cigarettes for their benefit as for that of tobacco, and especially of the state, who pocketed 80% of price of a pack, which brings in each year over 10 billion euros credit score.

While the additional gift to tobacconists would have no direct impact on government accounts. In all likelihood, the increase will be offset in compensation not to lower fees charged by Bercy, which closely monitors its accounts, but rather by a decrease in compensation of the tobacco industry, as was the case in the previous contract for the future.

To the extent that tobacco companies have no intention of making less money, they will offset the decline in their pay on each packet by an increase in their prices. "To erase an annual decline of 0.1% of our earnings should be increased by at least 10 cents the price of a package," says one manufacturer. "It's a vicious cycle that will strengthen the cause of the difficulties of cross-border tobacco shops," adds another.

Tobacco companies can increase their prices at the beginning of each quarter.Their next rate adjustment will occur not necessarily next January, to the extent that prices will rise by 6% already on Monday, October 17 or 10, as decided by the government. The pack of Marlboro will then 5.90 to 6.20 euros.

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• Central banks have put out the fire. Policy is to act.

To rebound, stock markets were expecting a strong gesture. A kind of kick in the bottom of the pool after the distressing spectacle of the leaders of member countries of the euro unable to agree on rescue Greece. The first impetus was given by central banks that have decided to tackle the funding problems of European banks. By providing all the liquidity they need dollars, they have the most urgent and avoided a new banking crisis. But the most difficult tasks lie ahead.For central banks are independent organizations, they therefore have the flexibility of movement that do not have the seventeen Member States of the euro. Now it is in the field of European governance, the ability of states to reduce their debt and the solidity of the European financial stability that is expected the euro area. Subjects whose implementation is far from certain and have not finished putting markets under pressure.

• Focus on growth, defensive stocks do not pay more.

The crash of August brought down one of the last great stock market myth: the resilience of defensive stocks in times of crisis. The numbers speak for themselves: Veolia Environnement and Suez, specializing in utilities, a sector traditionally very defensive, yielded 42 and 20% over the last three months.EDF and GDF Suez lost their next 18 and 12%. France Telecom, Vivendi and Vinci also fell sharply. During the summer, these values ​​have not only shown no ability to resist, but they often fell as much as "cyclical" as Lafarge, ArcelorMittal, Saint-Gobain or Peugeot. The only values ​​that really are resilient growth companies in these emerging countries have low debt and strong brands. LVMH is the case, Essilor International, SEB, Air Liquide, Bic or Hermes International. The clear market preference for growth stocks at the expense of defense is not surprising in times of crisis. It is precisely because investors fear a slowdown in the richer countries, that growth is so sought after by scholars.The famous guru of Wall Street, the American Peter Lynch, who long prospered the famous Magellan fund, has shown: in the long run, only the values ​​of growth are able to enrich shareholders. His motto: there is no fortune by multiplying the stock market moves, but the success by joining the best companies at the time.

• Economists fear a growing recession in the United States.

The euro crisis is not the only concern of the operators. According to a survey by the Wall Street Journal on a panel of 53 economists, they believe that there is one chance in three that the United States fell into recession in the next twelve months. This sharp deterioration in business expectations is a bad omen.American economists believe the Fed will be reactive at its meeting on 20 September, but they doubt the effectiveness of measures taken to revive the business. The survey, closely watched by traders on Wall Street, the trend weakens. Especially when we know that this feeling is shared by consumers, which contributes 70% to U.S. GDP.

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Moreover, the prospect of a default of Greece begins to be taken seriously by the markets. Including information from a German newspaper Der Spiegel, which said that Berlin was preparing for the possibility of bankruptcy of Athens, information denied by the Greek Minister of Finance.In this context, Greece has promised two billion euros in additional savings, without, for now, calm the markets.

Oil was also down sharply

Other Asian stock markets follow the downward trend of the Nikkei. The S & P / ASX 200 in Sydney lost 3.31% to 4055.90 points. The BSE Sensex of Bombay loose 1.62% to 16,593, 30 points and the FTSE Singapore Straits Times down 1.29% at 1450, 10 points. Note that the Stock Exchange in Seoul, Shanghai and Taipei are closed on Monday.

The oil also appears in sharp decline. In electronic trading in the morning, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery lost 1.23 dollars to 86.01 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery at $ 1.02 111 $ 75.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro fell to its lowest level in a decade against the yen.In Asian trade, the euro fell to 104.90 yen, the lowest since July 2001. It is then rise slightly and was worth 105.32 yen at about 3 am, but was down to its listing in New York Friday to 23 hours (105.91 yen). The euro was also down sharply vis-à-vis the dollar at 1.3594 dollars around 3 hours, against 1.3649 dollars on Friday to 23 hours.

After increasing by 0.63% in mid day, the CAC 40 dropped 0.9% in the afternoon, in response to the correction of growth forecasts for the euro area European Central Bank (ECB) . But late in the session, the index gradually returned in the green, gleaning 0.41% to 3085.83 points. On other European financial centers, the London Stock Exchange finished the session up, the FTSE-100 index took 0.41% to 3085.83 points. The Frankfurt Stock Exchange is on his side remained more hesitant, the Dax closed at balance, 5408.46 points (0.05%).

Not surprisingly, the ECB rate remained at current levels, at 1.5%. But the European Central Bank has revised downwards its growth forecast Thursday for the euro area, and taking note of the recent negative developments in the economy and the mood in financial markets. The ECB now sees growth of 1.6% in 2011 for the euro area. However in June it had the opposite raised its forecast to 1.9%. For 2012 it expects growth of 1.3% against 1.7% previously. Inflation expectations remain unchanged at 2.6% this year and 1.7% next year.

The U.S. employment under the microscope

United States, several indicators of the health of the economy fell. Among them, the weekly jobless claims, which rose during the week to September 3, at 414,000 against 412,000 (revised) the previous week.The trade deficit for its part, declined significantly in July to $ 44.8 billion after two consecutive months above 50 billion, with an unexpected surge in exports. In addition, U.S. inventories of crude oil fell more than expected last week, revealed the U.S. Agency for Energy Information (EIA). They fell 3.96 million barrels to over 353 million, while economists had forecast a decline of 1.9 million barrels.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday, those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at around 19 am, French time, the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy.This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth. For his part, Bush will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth. It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro continues to widen its losses: the European currency fell to 1.3945 dollars, its lowest level since July 12.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Stress tests imposed on European banks have made "transparency and clarity" on the strength of their balance sheets, said Wednesday night a Treasury official in the United States.

Banks react well. Among the largest increases in Société Générale took CAC 3.72% (at 20.01 euros), BNP Paribas 4.49% (at 33.06 euros) Crédit Agricole 3.06% (at 5.92 euros).Natixis took the head of the CAC 40 (4.77% to 2.65 euros).

• Areva (-0.20% to 20.74 euros)

The French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• Gemalto (5.46% to 35.43 euros)

The title leads increases the SBF 120, the group is in the midst of "road show", between August 26 and September 15, analysts point out. The action bounces also important on a technical device, which accentuates the rise in the stock, analysts note charts.Since August 25, the title was up over 13%.

• EADS (-0.85% to 21.69 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (0.34% to 10.38 euros) and EuropaCorp (-0.91% to 3.90 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -2.20% to 26.90 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: + 0.32% to 20.55 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: + 1.73% to 67.03 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: -0.54% to 49.65 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline.U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: + 0.37% to 12.19 euros, Vivendi: -1.06% to 15.89 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million. Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

Next recommendation goes to Credit Suisse under-performance against neutral Ipsen (0.28% to 23.02 euros). Societe Generale goes with the purchase of Biomerieux (2.09% to 71.40 euros).

He said it does not hurt to use or for investment, while helping to clean up the country's finances. "Our leaders have called for shared sacrifice, he writes. But when they did ask, they spared me. I checked with my friends to see which mégariches sacrifices they expected.Them either were not affected. "Warren Buffett has led his small survey: last year's tax rate accounted for 17.4% of its taxable income, while that of 20 workers in his office was between 33% and 41%.

"While the poor and middle class fighting for us in Afghanistan, and while many Americans are struggling to make ends meet, we, the mégariches, continue to benefit from special tax exemptions," says the American billionaire.

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