It's official: the economy in the euro zone will be better than expected. The European Central Bank has acknowledged Thursday by raising its growth forecast for 2010 and 2011. According to new figures, the business would grow in 2010 in a range between 1.4 and 1.8% from 0.7% to 1.3% estimated earlier. By 2011, growth would be between 0.5% and 2.3%, against +0.2% +2.2% previously.

"The range of real GDP growth this year has been revised upward due to stronger than expected rebound in economic growth in the second quarter and better than expected trends observed during the months of summer," explained the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet."For 2011, the band has also been revised up to reflect mainly the lingering effects of the stronger growth expected in late 2010."

Uncertainty

Despite these upward revisions, "uncertainty continues to prevail," said Jean-Claude Trichet nuanced. On the other hand, "the resumption of activity should be constrained by the process of balance sheet adjustments in various sectors and the prospects of the labor market."

Especially, the growth differentials are widening between the different countries of the eurozone, economists noted. When Germany led the run with 2.2% growth in the second quarter, Greece sinking into recession with a decline of 1.5% of GDP. Same trend for national unemployment rates. In these circumstances, the ECB's strategy looks complicated.

This is not a problem, "replied Jean-Claude Trichet: the Fed, the U.S., is in the same position for decades with 50 states. "Over the past decade, the lowest growth of a U.S. state was 0.9% (Ohio) and the highest 4.7% (Arizona). We observed the same discrepancy in the euro area over the same period, "argued the president of the ECB. Same thing for the unemployment rates have spread from 3.5% to 14% depending on the states. Again, we found the same range in the Eurozone. "

Despite the rebound in Asian stock markets Wednesday morning and the revival of U.S. consumer confidence on Tuesday, the Paris financial markets remain febrile for the first day of September. At mid-session, the index in Paris rose 2.03% to 3561.75 points. The CAC 40 closed Tuesday August on a small increase of 0.11% to 3490.79 points. Throughout the month, the index in Paris lost more than 7%.

The Footsie-100 from the London Stock Exchange ahead of 0.38% to 5244.92 points. In contrast, the German DAX 30, after opening up slightly, declining from 0.41% to 5900.95 points, following the unexpected decline of 0.3% of retail sales in July.

The Paris Bourse and benefits of U.S. statistics less bad than expected, especially the rebound in consumer confidence in August. The increase in manufacturing activity in China is also contributing to accelerating gains in the CAC 40."The upward movement was initiated at the close on Wall Street Tuesday night, says it in the rooms. We do not press too heavily on the markets, which explains that the movement is noticeable now, and not opening.

Vivendi stock rewarded

The set of interim results continued. Vivendi raised its forecast for this year, after posting a 6.1% increase in sales to 13.9 billion euros and 6.6% of its net profit to 1.26 billion euros. The shares rose 5.05% to 19.34 euros, the largest increase in the CAC 40, before Lafarge (4.77% to 38.09 euros). The group also benefits from the increase in the analysts' recommendations Credit Agricole Cheuvreux to "outperform" cons "underperformance."They also raised their price target to 48 euros 46 euros cons.

The investment company Wendel (4.31% to 42.15 euros) in the first half net profit of 124.5 million euros against a loss of 959 million for the same period of 2009.

Tuesday after-hours trade, Bouygues (-1.31% at 31.62 euros) issued a revenue down 1% in the first half and slightly raised its full-year sales (30.4 billion cons EUR 30.1 billion previously planned). The value is the largest drop in the CAC 40, about 9:25.

Vinci (2.86% to 35.62 euros) reported interim results exceeded expectations Guaranteed payday loan.Its net profit was up 1.9% to 703 million euros and sales rose 2.3% to 15.5 billion euros, thanks to improved traffic conditions and benefits the acquisition of Cegelec.

Finally, Eiffage (-1.36% to 35.50 euros) confirmed its forecast of sales for 2010 thanks to the growth of its backlog and achieved a 40% jump in net profit share Half of the group 70 million euros. The operating profit has however declined by 2.6% to 412 million, within the scope of the downturn in work due to a climate of increased competition.

In the tug of opposing Sanofi-Aventis (2.11% to 46.23 euros) to Genzyme, the CEO of biotech company judge, in an interview with Reuters, the high probability of finding an agreement on Sanofi bid on American group.However, he reiterated that Genzyme will not accept the proposed price of 69 dollars per share. According to sources close to the U.S. group will not negotiate at least $ 75.

Manufacturing: up in France, down in the euro area

On the macroeconomic front, the growth of manufacturing in the euro area shows in August to its lowest level since February, according to figures released Wednesday by the monthly survey Markit. The PMI purchasing managers fell to 55.1 against 56.7 in July. In France, it reached 55.1 points in August, against 53.9 the previous month in Britain, it fell to 54.3 in August, after a final figure revised down to 56.9 in July.

The same index will be unveiled in the U.S. in 16 hours. Also overseas, the ADP employment figures in the private sector will be published to 14.15.They give a first overview of the situation on the labor market in the U.S. before the official figures on Friday.

Another indicator of importance: New car registrations in France fell 9.8% in August on a year to reach 102,912 units with the breathless pursuit of the effect "scrappage" announced Wednesday the Committee of French Automobile (CCFA). In July, new car registrations fell by 12.9% compared to last year, and 15.4% for the only French brands.

The French government wants to reduce by three billion in Budget 2011, tax loopholes enjoyed by the insurance industry, under the "movement of the plane" of 10 billion to reduce the deficit, said Monday AFP at the Department of Economics. The revenue thus acquired will be made to the Sinking Fund of the social debt of 3.2 billion new resources the government has agreed to pay."This revenue will be made in three steps facing the insurance industry at large, because it is the sector with the biggest stake in what guarantees the sustainability of social protection system," said the entourage of the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde.

Resources collected in advance

The first measure deemed included in the Finance Bill to be presented in late September by the cabinet for life insurance, the preferred placement of the French.Included are contracts known as "multi-media, which include a part in Euro (guaranteed capital invested in bonds) and other units of account (mostly invested in equities).

To date, social security contributions (general social contribution and contribution to reducing social deficits) are made only outcome of multi-support contract, then they are executed each year on contracts in euros only. "We will achieve the social deductions each year for the compartment euro contract of life insurance multi-media", it was argued. In this case, it is not really new but revenue from resources "advance", they added.

Tax incentives obsolete

The second measure relates to contracts "caring and responsible" health insurance, covering virtually all of the supplementary cover.They have since their launch in 2005 of a tax exemption on insurance agreements. "This exemption would allow these contracts to take an important place. But it is a success, so there is no need for a tax incentive very strong, "argued the entourage of Christine Lagarde."These contracts will therefore be subject to tax on insurance contracts, but at a reduced rate of 3.5% instead of the standard rate of seven per cent," he said.

The final measure focuses on the taxation of the "reserve accumulation" that insurers are required to be to smooth fluctuations in interest rates.

Each of these three measures should yield about one billion euros in revenues in 2011.

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The retirements have melted like snow in the sun in 2009. According to the National Insurance pensions (CNAV) 734.0000 some employees have asserted their right to retire last year, against 785,000 in 2008. It has been 10% less than in 2007, when nearly 820,000 active generation of baby boomers are retiring.

The main reason for this huge difference is the collapse of early retirement for long careers. In force since 2004, starting a long career can retire between 56 and 60 for those who started work before their 17 years. The conditions for benefiting from this device, however, were restricted by the government in 2008.

Early departures will be undermined

In 2009, 24,300 people were affected by these departures anticipated, against 122,120 in 2008 and 115,120 in 2007, according CNAV.This decline has led, despite the crisis, to increase the participation rate of older workers aged 50-64 years, has pointed the direction of animation research, studies and statistics (DARES) of the Department Employment in a report on employment, unemployment and labor force in 2009 released this week.

According CNAV, many assets have anticipated the tightening of regulations on long careers and have preferred to assert their rights to retirement in 2008. In September 2007, Prime Minister François Fillon had estimated the cost of this measure is important because it explains half of the deficit of the general pension scheme established in 2007.

Have also been restrictions on the potential acquisition of quarters, and longer duration required assessed under the successive reforms of 1993, 2003 and 2007, according CNAV.

The effects of a 1959 Act

In addition to the tightening of access device initially anticipated a long career, Dares says that downsizing is partly due to "lagged effects of the law Berthoin to 16 years with school age obligoire" for children born after 1953. An ordinance dating from 1959!

If the hour is restraint, reform of pensions in payment should not spell the end of the device of long careers. The government expects its bill for consideration by Parliament in September, to "extend and expand" the insured "who started their business at the age of 17 years." They may retire before the age of 62 years provided for the general scheme. A condition to justify a contribution period of two years longer than the duration required, or 43 years.

(With AFP)

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On the ground of appeal as that of growth, France is doing "less bad" than its main competitors. It is the belief of the French Agency for International Investment (AFII), which on Monday published its panel's attractiveness in 2010, in collaboration with the Center for Strategic Analysis (CAS), Treasury and Datar. While foreign direct investment last year saw a decline of 41% in developed countries, they have fallen "only" 35% in France.

The Hexagon's interest to maintain this advantage: the French subsidiaries of foreign groups provide more than 2.5 million jobs, 20% of R & D and almost 40% of these exports are linked to foreign establishments.And since 2007, when the crisis was suffering its effects, new investment decisions by foreign companies will be permitted to "maintain or create approximately 30,000 jobs" each year.

"Beware the gap between what the economic data and leave out the perception of foreign investors," said Monday David Appia, president of the AFII. This paper attempts to twist the particular blow to conventional wisdom: that France would not fiscally attractive to businesses. "People often think that taxation in France is a weak point but in reality the situation is more complex," said Director General of CAS, Vincent Chriqui No fax payday advance.It must be determined "globally", argue the AFII and CAS.

"Strong signals"

The tax can not be reduced to the corporate tax (IS). "The effective tax burden on enterprises in France is much lower than the nominal rate of the SI would suggest," says the report. It must also consider the tax base and exemptions. Ultimately, if we look at the revenue of the IS reported to EBITDA, "France is in a better position, with a tax rate of approximately 17% of profits." Dietary improvements reserved for impatriate removing the ceiling of the research tax credit – now "the strongest incentive to Europe" – and the removal of business tax on productive investments also "sent a strong signal towards investors foreigners.

More generally, France is ranked fifth in the world for business location costs (employment, installation, transportation, taxes, equipment and energy) and one in Europe, the document stresses the AFII, which compiles data and existing rankings, making comparisons between France and eleven other neighboring countries.

European shares are sharpening their weapons. In an interview with La Tribune, the owner of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) Xavier Rolet reacted to the opening of NYSE Euronext a new trading platform in London. Called "NYSE Euronext London," this new market to attract foreign listings.

"Expanding our presence on the continent"

Xavier Rollet, the French who took the head of the London Stock Exchange last May, said he was surprised by this operation. His response was quick: "We have made different choices and work network rather than concentrating all our activity on a single data center," he explains to La Tribune.He added: "We do not exclude also not to extend our presence on the continent, opening new centers, data processing, to the extent that we would welcome, of course."

The boss said the LSE and the LSE would be "delighted [s] to offer [his] office to launch an electronic bond platform in Paris, provided that we welcome."

A "coup de grace for the Paris Bourse

In the Financial Times, Xavier Rollet described the strategy of NYSE Euronext's coup de grace for Paris, "providing" a significant problem for the French government " Payday Loan for Bad Credit. NYSE Euronext's strategy is not, according to him "a question of product 'but is rather a strong interest in the British capital.He also points out that his rival has already transferred its data center in suburban London. But Paris, says the British daily, remains the headquarters of NYSE Technologies and the place where NYSE Euronext intends to develop its own clearing house.

In addition, the Financial Times reveals that the LSE prepares an offensive on the derivatives market. Rollet Xavier Charter calls for an opening to competition of the market where it wants to position itself within nine months.

The London Stock Exchange on Wednesday posted a slight sales increase of 1% between April and June 2010 to 158.2 million pounds (189.5 million euros). Over the same period, total revenue rose 2% to 166 million pounds (198.8 million euros).

The decision does not surprise employees. According to union sources on Saturday, Total has initiated proceedings before the Tribunal de Grande Instance of Nanterre to challenge the decision of the Court of Appeal of Douai forcing it to reopen its Dunkirk refinery. The oil group has assigned Friday the employee representative bodies in order to ask the court not to restart the activity on the site.

Total wants a declaration that the information and consultation procedure has been "completed". And even if the court believes that the procedure was "initiated with delay", Total highlights the fact that "the employee representative bodies have been able to exercise all powers vested in them" and they have suffered "no harm".

"Their last cartridges"

For Philippe Wullens, Delegate South (majority site), this reaction was expected faxless cash advances. Management would have announced in June that it would form a further appeal against the decision of the Court of Appeal. According to Steward, the leaders of Total fired "one of their last cartridge." Roger Koskas, counsel employees, estimates that total attempts to circumvent the decision by the Court of Appeal of Douai. Beside him, his brother, Patrick Tillie declares itself "not too pessimistic."

The hearing will be held September 17. According to two lawyers, Total has so far done nothing to comply with the decision of the Court of Appeal, despite a daily fine of 100,000 euros. For the moment, neither the group nor his lawyers could not be reached.

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Secretary of State for Housing returns including the removal of stacking individual housing for students and the half-tax share for dependent children.

LE FIGARO. – Do you react when prices of the older building are divided on the rise?

Benoist appeared. – These price increases are not good. What can be done to curb them? First, hire a real estate policy. Today, there is not enough land available. And that contributes to higher prices. We are moving ahead on the transparency of real estate prices. Currently, there are so many statistics that no one is confused. To provide clarity, we label the most reliable statistics. Finally, we are working on increasing housing supply in areas strained.Because if prices rise faster in Paris (15% in one year) than in France (+8.5%) (as Century 21, Ed), is that supply is insufficient. For example, in the next aid reform homeownership, people who buy new in the tension zone will be helped more than those who buy into the old to the same place. This will encourage developers to produce more housing.

The removal of stacking individual housing for students and the half-tax share for dependent children is debatable. Why did you make that decision?

It's a fairness issue. Families choose the device which is more favorable. The PLA is the only student for personal housing without means testing. Today, 535,000 homes add to the LPA half share in the income tax.Obviously, this does not affect the poorest households, who pay no income tax. And the higher the income, the higher the benefit of the half-tax share is important. We wanted to put an end to this combination. Now he must choose between the PLA or the half-tax share. According to our estimates, 70% of households will retain the PLA, the more financially attractive. This measure will come into effect in September 2011. And allow the state to save $ 200 million.

The contribution of EUR 340 million requested for social landlords has also brought controversy. How do you explain that?

This measure allows the equalization of implementing a major goal: to build more where the needs are! Of the 800 social landlords, 10% to 15% build and invest very little. In the middle, we call them "plump dormant.Especially we ask for them in 2011 an effort of solidarity to implement this equalization of 340 million euros. These amounts will be redistributed to many social landlords who build in areas where land is expensive and where the needs are increasingly important. For this contribution does not result in an excessive increase in rents, I hope the IRL (benchmark rents) is now a target growth that social landlords will not exceed.

How do you respond to social landlords who say it will lead them to build 20,000 homes in less than in 2011?

In late 2008, donors had social capital of 6.5 billion euros. That still leaves them real freedom of maneuver. Furthermore, the terms of participation and redistribution of these 340 million will be discussed with the world HLM.But we will maintain our high level of funding for social housing with government intervention 10 billion.

In 2011, Action Housing (formerly 1% Housing) Will there still subsidized to the tune of 1.25 billion euros the National Housing Agency and the national agency for urban renewal?

Yes and it's not a surprise. This contribution of 1.25 billion was provided for three years from 2009 to 2011. This will keep the government's commitments in the fight against fuel poverty, urban renewal, renovation of old neighborhoods and degraded fight against substandard housing. Already, we are discussing with Action Housing to determine its future contributions. And we have no plans to increase it.

This Wednesday should be placed under the sign of the decline in Paris at the opening, while the CAC 40 seems to stand at ambient breathlessness on exchanges. The leading index has managed to maintain the 3,700 points on Tuesday night, but in the early exchanges, the threshold should not take.

In Europe, stock markets have made concessions on Tuesday after nine sessions chained up on. Announcing the easing of exchange rate policy of China, made Saturday, had pushed world stock markets Monday. The first steps in this direction have been given yesterday and Wednesday, with two cuts in a row the central rate against the dollar. But in exchange, the effect was short-lived. And on Wall Street, poor statistics on the front of the immmobilier has cast a chill on the market.So, this morning, the main financial centers of the Asia-Pacific are following suit.

At around 7:30 on Wednesday, the euro is at equilibrium after fell Tuesday. This rating 1.2270 dollar.

Economic News Authority

In France, on Wednesday will release at 8:45 INSEE's monthly surveys of important conditions in the industry, in construction and retail trade for the month of June as well as indicators of business climate and economic downturn. At noon, the Court of Auditors present its report on the situation and prospects of public finances.

In Germany, the GfK consumer barometer, always watched closely, will be visible at 8:10.

In the euro area, the first estimate of the PMI will be unveiled at 10:00.

And the United States, 16 hours, will be made public promises of home sales for the month of May, after a bad real estate statistics published in the ninth Tuesday: – 2.2% in volume last month, to 5.66 million units annualized.

The traditional weekly crude inventories will be available at 16:30.

Finally, this evening after 20 hours, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Fed will issue its statement.Highly regarded by investors, note any change in the discourse of the Federal Reserve.

The rate strategists believe that Societe Generale U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its rates faster and stronger than expected by the market and call for caution on U.S. government bonds.

Societe Generale wants to Kerviel lost 4.9 billion

Societe Generale will call Wednesday Kerviel just 4.9 billion euros in damages, a record amount corresponding to the loss she attributes to "fraud" of its former trader. Yesterday, the former CEO of Societe Generale, Daniel Bouton, has admitted "failures in the control of the bank during his testimony before the Tribunal of Paris.

L'Oreal Paul Bulcke, Nestlé CEO, said in an interview with Reuters that his group had no plans to change the status quo in the capital of the world's number one cosmetics line with the Pact of shareholders that binds to the Bettencourt family.

Alstom Alstom and Areva does not want to marry with Areva. "To dance the tango, it takes two. Areva does not really want to dance. We no longer so eager to dance ourselves, "Patrick said Tuesday Kron, Alstom's Chairman, at the general meeting of shareholders.

Total Total and oil stocks are worthy of attention.The International Atomic Energy Agency (IEA) publishes 10:30 prospects of markets for oil and gas.

ArcelorMittal the world's number one steel company, announced Tuesday that the apparent demand and actual demand for steel would remain positive in the second half of the year, even if they should show a slowdown during this period. Lakshmi Mittal, the CEO that the slowdown in demand was due to seasonal reasons. The boss also said he did not think the steel industry return to its pre-crisis level until 2012.

Insurance Axa, CNP, Scor … : Values of insurance will also be regarded as the French Federation of Insurance Companies (FFSA) releases on the market situation and its prospects.

Banks The banking sector remains to be monitored throughout the session. On Tuesday, he suffered a spate of bad news.In addition to degradation of the note in the long-term debt, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole said the cost of risk on its Greek subsidiary Emporiki would weigh 450 million euros more than expected. The BNP Paribas has yielded 1.92% and that of Crédit Agricole SA 4.69%.

Discussions on a tax credit and tighter prudential rules also weighed.

The Renault-Nissan automaker Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn, said he received 890 million yen (8 million euros at current exchange rates) for 2009-2010, making him one of best paid bosses in Japan. Carlos Ghosn made the announcement at the annual general meeting of shareholders of the Japanese group, held Wednesday in Yokohama (Tokyo area).This does not include fees paid 1.24 million euros in 2009 he has received as CEO of the automaker Renault, Nissan's largest shareholder with 45.7% of the securities.

Peugeot Peugeot Italy said Tuesday it has signed an agreement with Sorgenia first private operator in the Italian electricity market created and controlled by Rodolfo De Benedetti, for the launch of its Ion Electric Vehicle in Italy.

France Telecom, the company announced Tuesday it would invest about 515 million euros over the next five years in its network in Switzerland a few weeks after abandoning its planned merger with Sunrise, blocked by the competition authority of the country .

No change in the short term. But the door remains ajar for two more months. Nicolas Sarkozy held a meeting this FRIDAY on pension reform in the presence of several ministers: Baroin (Budget), Georges Tron (Public Service) and Eric Woerth (Labour). Following this meeting, the President of the Republic has decided to send as is the bill (see the text in its entirety) to the Councils for review. No editing for now, is therefore proposed for this text which provides a gradual increase in the age of retirement until age 62 in 2018.

However, the executive says ready to developments on three issues dear to the CFDT: the situation of people who started working before age 18, taking into account the hardship and treatment of poly-pensioners (of persons covered by several pension plans).The special case of poly-pensioners had hitherto not been mentioned in the text of the reform presented Wednesday.

Nicolas Sarkozy has asked Eric Woerth offer him "at the latest before the start of parliamentary debate in September, possible developments on these topics.

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