Paris hesitates despite SocGen

After opening at 3746.56 points on balance, the CAC 40 suffered some profit taking and lost around 10:30 just over 0.5% to 3726.45 points. At midday, the index feature yielded 0.54% to 3727 points before picking up one hour before the opening of Wall Street. 14.30 ACC exceeds 3750 points (+0.13%). Tuesday evening now, the benchmark index of the Paris market had bent slightly, from 0.12% to 3747.51 points, while nearly 3,750 points in the wake of Wall Street, penalized by economic indicators so good that anticipated.

Investors reacted positively Wednesday morning, however, the results of Societe Generale, published before the opening, and that are much better than expected.Monday, BNP Paribas and HSBC had already published accounts reassuring and had restored confidence to investors worldwide.

In Asia, Tokyo has fallen sharply while export values are penalized by the yen continued to rise against the dollar. At 85.5 yen to the dollar, the yen has never been stronger.

Economic News still loaded

On Wednesday, the macroeconomic news might still punctuate the markets. In the euro area, the focus will be on the PMI services and composite July (2nd estimate).Growth in the French sector of services has accelerated slightly in July, but expectations of entrepreneurs are less strong, according to the PMI survey published Wednesday by Markit Economics.

At 11:00, retail sales in the eurozone emerged flat in June mainly due to lower sales of food products, following a 0.4% increase the previous month (revised from +0.2%) but show a larger increase than expected 0.4% in one year, after 0.6% (revised from +0.3%) recorded in May Economists polled by Reuters had forecast an average increase of 0.1% from one month to another as well as annual.

Overseas, the ADP employment figures in the private sector in July will be well attended in the financial world, at 14.30. Then at 16 hours, the ISM index of activity in services should lead the market.Finally, at 16:30, the traditional weekly crude oil stocks are known. All these figures of importance, so that on Tuesday, the statistics on consumer spending and incomes of households were poorer than expected.

Société Générale and Axa have done better than expected

As for values, investors have been informed by stock-half-year results of Societe Generale (1.38% to 46.02 euros) payday loans. Net income was more than tripled to 1.084 billion euros in the second quarter. Economists expected a doubling.Moreover, its Greek subsidiary Geniki announced a widening its net loss in the first half, the economic difficulties the country promoting the proliferation of bad loans.

AXA (-1.76% to 14.47 euros), has reported net earnings in the first half down 29% to 944 million euros. It's better than expected and operating income, which excludes special items, spring, him, down 3%.

Suez Environment (-0.23% to 15.14 euros), which specializes in managing water and waste, noted Wednesday its growth forecast for the full year 2010, after posting first half results strong growth. Jean-Louis Chaussade, CEO of number two French water treatment and industrial waste, says his group's performance in the first half.

Bic (+0.54% at 56.10 euros).The group anticipates a slowdown in particular the growth in sales of lighters and razors in the second half.

Sopra (-0.02%) and Iliad (-1.15%) also posted pre-market.

Maurel & Prom: + 68% of first half sales

Energy. Departments of Ecology and Economy announced Tuesday that the government planned to increase to 15 August electricity rates by 3% on average for households and 4% to 5.5% for businesses. EDF is the head of the CAC 40 to 34.7 euros.

Maurel & Prom (-0.45%% to EUR 9.78) Tuesday announced sales up 68% in the first half of 2010, helped by the rise in production fields in Gabon and in particular into production fields and Omgw OMBG. Note that the oil companies are particularly sought after in recent sessions.The oil was indeed installed comfortably beyond 80 dollars.

Vilmorin (+0.17% to 74.63 euros) Tuesday posted a consolidated turnover from 2009 to 2010 up 6.2%, supported by his vegetable business. The fourth seed has confirmed global forecast fiscal year 2009-2010 ended June 30, "a good performance of its margins," despite the increased "significantly" from its research investment.

Teleperformance (-0.72% to 19.31 euros) announced Tuesday for the first half rose 3.9% in sales on a reported basis, down to a 2.6% decline in comparable, indicating that positive impact of its restructuring plan on the second play of the year.

The CAC 40 rose 3%, reaches 3750 points

The Paris Bourse was raised a notch to 16 heyres. Already the CAC 40 took more than 2% since this morning, but the ISM index of manufacturing activity, released on Monday across the Atlantic in 16 hours (Paris time) gave a boost to U.S. indices, as best expected. European stock markets all benefit.

In Paris the CAC 40 wins no less than 2.96% at 3,750 points to 16.20. The month of August begins very well, after one month of July already favorable to investors in Paris.

Last month, the CAC 40 was well recovered, compared to a decline in June and a memorable month of May in terms of poor performance. Between 1 July and this July 30, the index rose 9.1%. Since the beginning of the year, it remains a decline of 7.45%. Compared to a year ago, it was up 6.3%.

On the face of macroeconomic indicators, two publications are important to remember.In Europe, growth in manufacturing output and new orders accelerated, reaching their highest level in three months, according to the latest PMI survey released Monday and conducted by Markit Economics Institute. The PMI index for manufacturing final Eurozone appears already to 56.7 in July against 55.6 in June

On the other side of the Atlantic, the ISM has continued to grow, but less than before. The increase in activity in the manufacturing sector in the United States has continued to slow in July, the index measuring the ISM has fallen to 55.5, but less than expected, according to figures released Monday by the association .

On the values front, are monitored:

BNP Paribas (4.59%) which unveiled on Monday its quarterly results before the market in good order. They are far beyond expectations, thanks to lower provisions.The title gained 4.19% to 54.92 euros. The title brings in its wake Societe Generale (2.97%). For its part, Credit Agricole gained 2.33% to 10.75 euros.

Air Liquide (1.29% to 87.48 euros) on Monday confirmed its objective of increasing its net profit in 2010 after an acceleration of growth in sales between the first and second quarter, thanks emerging markets.

France Telecom (1.09% to 16.24 euros) has initiated discussions with shareholders Meditel second operator in Morocco, to acquire 40% stake in it, according to the Moroccan weekly News, suggesting a possible investment of 650 million euros. Title varies slightly to 16.05 euros.

Eurazeo announced Saturday that entered into exclusive negotiations with the U.S. fund Carlyle for the sale of the hotel chain B & B.Eurazeo gaining 1.74% to 49.73 euros.

The construction group Vinci (2.44% to 38.05 euros) was selected Friday by the Government for the concession and the construction of the airport at Notre-Dame-des-Landes, who should take over from 2017 the air service from Nantes-Atlantique.

Areva (-2.96% to 354 euros) on Friday, as expected, half results penalized by an additional provision under the Finnish EPR OL3, but confirmed its 2010 targets.

Eiffage (2.21% to 39.57 euros) published a quarterly revenue up 2.2% and said its order book stood at EUR 10.8 billion at July 1 ( +4.4% at constant since 1 April 2010), more than 11 months of activity.

APRR (stable) – The Socialist leader Arnaud Montebourg said it had seized the financial markets authority (AMF) to try and block the delisting of Autoroutes Paris Rhin Rhone (APRR) requested by Eiffarie, a joint venture of Eiffage and the Australian Macquarie Group

Lower retirement in 2009

The retirements have melted like snow in the sun in 2009. According to the National Insurance pensions (CNAV) 734.0000 some employees have asserted their right to retire last year, against 785,000 in 2008. It has been 10% less than in 2007, when nearly 820,000 active generation of baby boomers are retiring.

The main reason for this huge difference is the collapse of early retirement for long careers. In force since 2004, starting a long career can retire between 56 and 60 for those who started work before their 17 years. The conditions for benefiting from this device, however, were restricted by the government in 2008.

Early departures will be undermined

In 2009, 24,300 people were affected by these departures anticipated, against 122,120 in 2008 and 115,120 in 2007, according CNAV.This decline has led, despite the crisis, to increase the participation rate of older workers aged 50-64 years, has pointed the direction of animation research, studies and statistics (DARES) of the Department Employment in a report on employment, unemployment and labor force in 2009 released this week.

According CNAV, many assets have anticipated the tightening of regulations on long careers and have preferred to assert their rights to retirement in 2008. In September 2007, Prime Minister François Fillon had estimated the cost of this measure is important because it explains half of the deficit of the general pension scheme established in 2007.

Have also been restrictions on the potential acquisition of quarters, and longer duration required assessed under the successive reforms of 1993, 2003 and 2007, according CNAV.

The effects of a 1959 Act

In addition to the tightening of access device initially anticipated a long career, Dares says that downsizing is partly due to "lagged effects of the law Berthoin to 16 years with school age obligoire" for children born after 1953. An ordinance dating from 1959!

If the hour is restraint, reform of pensions in payment should not spell the end of the device of long careers. The government expects its bill for consideration by Parliament in September, to "extend and expand" the insured "who started their business at the age of 17 years." They may retire before the age of 62 years provided for the general scheme. A condition to justify a contribution period of two years longer than the duration required, or 43 years.

(With AFP)

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Wall Street has suffered some profit-taking

Always worried about the pace of recovery in the United States, and after six trading sessions in the green, the U.S. stock markets fell on Thursday.

After an opening in the green, the gains were quickly erased by investors who took their bénéfcies. Thus, at the close, the Dow Jones down 0.30% to 10,446.85 points.

Yet on Thursday, enrollment weekly unemployment fell slightly more than expected in the United States during the week to July 24, at 457 000 468 000 cons (revised) the previous week, said Thursday the Labor Department.

But the Fed Beige Book released Wednesday evening has reported a recovery in global economy.But two of the twelve regional branches of the Fed said the pace of activity has slowed recently, Chicago and Atlanta, and two others have found a stable economic situation in Cleveland and Kansas City.

The primary appointment of the week is expected Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) which will attract the attention of investors.

Symantec picks

On the side of values, Visa (-4.32% to 71.93 U.S. dollars) yesterday issued a profit after the close of U.S. $ 716 million, or 96 cents per share, against 93 cents expected by analysts. The group's turnover is up 23% to $ 2 billion against $ 1.97 billion expected by analysts.

The publisher of Symantec Antivirus (-11.18% to 13.03 dollars) has announced an increase in its profit to 161 million dollars against 74 million last year.But the disappointment comes from the software storage management data that represent 36% of sales. The activity is down 5%. For the current quarter, the group revised downward its revenue were planning.

U.S. oil giant ExxonMobil (1% to 60.3 U.S. dollars) on Thursday posted a net profit nearly doubled on a year in the second quarter to 7.560 billion dollars, thanks to improved refining margins and higher prices hydrocarbons. Net income group share stood at 7.560 billion dollars against 3.950 billion a year earlier (+91%).

In contrast, Kellogg is sanctioned: -6.89% to 47.98 dollars. The U.S. food group said on Thursday doing worse than expected for the second quarter of 2010 due to the weakness of the grain market and declining sales of its Eggo brand.The Group's net profit fell 15% to 302 million dollars. Net sales declined 5% to 3.1 billion dollars.

Also severely punished: Colgate Palmolive (-6.74% to 78.12 dollars) with worldwide sales rose 2% to 3.81 billion dollars. Prices rose 0.5% globally, with a negative effect of exchange rate fluctuations, the company said in a statement. Its net profit grew 7% in the second quarter of 2010, to 603 million.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (-5.77% to 11.26 dollars) reported better than expected quarterly results Thursday in favor of growing its revenue and earnings generated by its business in North America , thus raising its stock exchange.The leading U.S. manufacturer of tires reported a second quarter net income of $ 28 million (21 million euros), or 11 cents per share, against a net loss of $ 221 million a year ago ( 92 cents per share).

For its part, the selling group in U.S. online Amazon (-0.23%% to 116.86 dollars) has launched two new models of its Kindle reading shelf.

Always on the side of values, the car rental company Avis (7.22% to 11.88 dollars) amounted Wednesday its bid for rival Dollar Thrifty, with 13.4% more than Hertz, 1.33 billion in cash and stock, hoping to cut short the agreement between Hertz and Dollar in April.

Also note, Chris Viehbacher boss Sanofi Aventis (-0.54% to 29.31 dollars) has confirmed that group continued to explore possible "small or medium-sized" acquisitions.He declined to comment on rumors about the interests of U.S. biotech group Genzyme. Earlier in the morning, sources cited by Reuters said that the laboratory intends to make a formal offer on Genzyme after the failure of his informal approach on U.S. biotech specializing in the treatment of orphan diseases.

According to Bloomberg, the board of Sanofi has authorized management to offer up to $ 70 per share, an offer that values Genzyme $ 18.7 billion.

The Fund is aimed at China

Meeting Monday in Washington, the directors of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has called on China to rebalance its growth. It is now driven by exports and investment, and little by domestic demand. Even if the consumption figures were revised upwards for 2009, growth in domestic demand remains a key challenge for the government, with control of inflation in property prices. In this regard, the IMF welcomes the measures taken by Beijing and noted that "additional measures may be needed to address this problem at its root.

Some members of the IMF estimate that a stronger currency would help China to rebalance its growth, expected by the institution in 2010 to 10.5% and 9.6% in 2011. Economists have however been divided on the issue of undervaluation of the yuan.In fact, six weeks after announcing the easing of exchange rate policy, China continues to monitor closely the movements of its currency, which gained less than 1% against the greenback.

The end of the docking of the renminbi to the dollar opened, at least, the prospects in Shanghai as an international financial center potential. Guangdong Development Bank, based in Canton, bet on this option and will move its bond traders and exchange rate regime in the economic capital of China.

The CAC 40 ended up, driven by banking

The Paris Bourse ended the session on Monday in the green: +0.8% to 3635.86 points after having doubted almost the entire session. The CAC 40 was indeed long hesitation on the way forward following the release Friday of "stress tests" conducted on 91 European banks and published Friday after the stock market. Only seven institutions have failed, which means a respectable success rate of 92%. However, 17 banks post notes just averages. What a cool little enthusiasm.

Finally, Paris has chosen the rise. Like Wall Street, Friday, which had been optimistic, although Asian markets were more hesitant.

No macroeconomic indicator was expected in Europe.But the United States, sales of new houses in the U.S. rebounded more than expected in June, from 23.6% in May after hitting their lowest level since 1963 at least, but still extremely low, according to official figures released Monday in Washington. The news bolstered Wall Street upwards.

As for currencies, the euro climbed slightly against the dollar: + 0.53% to 1.2980 dollar.

Featured Banks

Who says interpretation of "stress tests", said reaction of the banking sector. At the Paris Bourse, the French banks took off and pulled the score up: +7.75% Dexia, 5.24% for Societe Generale, 3.12% for Credit Agricole, 2.37% for BNP Paribas and 1.91% for Axa.For the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde, have no fear: French banks have succeeded in "this difficult test with flying colors, with honors.

The car values have also boosted the index: 1.65% for Peugeot, 1.58% and 1.28% for Michelin for Renault.

In red lantern ACC, a troucve STMicroelectronics: 2.34% to 6.34 euros.

Sanofi-Aventis lowered its earnings forecast for 2010

Sanofi Aventis (+0.16% to € 45.58) announced Friday that the first generic version of the anticoagulant Lovenox has been approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The supply of the generic, marketed by Sandoz in association with the American company Momenta began in the wake of the approval by the FDA.The news had tumbled 4.25% securities at the close Friday because the Lovenox was the second top-selling drug from Sanofi last year. In a statement, Sanofi-Aventis recalls his "reservations" about the approval by the FDA in regard to "patient safety".

The pharmaceutical group revises accordingly its earnings forecast downward, with "an evolution of the EPS of activities for 2010 of between 0% and -4% compared to 2009 at constant exchange rates. A turnaround from last April when Sanofi evoked a growth in earnings per share from between 2% and 5%.In addition, Sanofi would have views of the U.S. biotech Genzyme after the Wall Street Journal.

Fimalac (0.95% to 31.29 euros) on Friday issued after the market closes up its turnover by 6.9% to 443.2 million euros in the first nine months of its 2009-2010 ended September 30.

April Group (1.73%) and Faiveley (-0.29%) publish their turnover in the first half after the stock market. Icade (1.84%) and Klépierre (+0.6%) at the same time unveil their interim results.

The Paris Bourse wait

The CAC 40 is a little break after a meeting at which bounce saw the benchmark index of Paris close to over 3%. On Friday, the markets begin the session on a slight decline from 0.13% to 3595.66 points. The waiting game surrounding the publication of results of stress tests of European banks is felt. Already, the euro back a bit against the dollar at 1.2889 dollars around 9:00.

Yesterday, U.S. markets have done a great meeting Thursday at which time the Dow has gained almost 2%. U.S. markets relatively insensitive to the announcement of a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registrations have been worn by the overall business results above consensus.

In terms of macroeconomic statistics, the session looks very calm.No major indicator is expected in the United States.

In France, the French household consumption of manufactured goods fell 1.4% in June after the previous month was supported by purchases of televisions before the World Cup, according to figures published by INSEE before the opening markets. Throughout the second quarter, it shows a decrease of 0.9% after falling 1.9% on the first three months of the year. Analysts on average expected a rise of 0.2% in June

The Germans will unveil their Ifo business climate.

TF1 reviewing its objectives to increase

The stress test, however, occupy the banking sector.BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, Natixis (BPCE) or Dexia should respond.

Moreover, the markets will again this session to analyze several quarterly publications:

TF1 announced before market sales ad up 11% in the first semester for a total turnover of 1.28 billion euros, above the consensus. Net income group share was 74 million euros over the period. The objectives are significantly revised upward with a turnover in 2010 rose by 7% instead of 4%.

STMicroelectronics reported Thursday a profit above expectations at 18 cents per share with a turnover up 27% to 2.53 billion. Analysts on average expected a profit of 14 cents per share and a turnover of 2.513 billion dollars.

Pernod Ricard noted Thursday its annual forecast for operating profit thanks to the improved economic environment and its position in emerging markets. Its turnover in 2009-2010 emerged, up 2% on a comparable basis.

Ubisoft has released a turnover up 94% in the first quarter of 2010-2011, to 161 million euros and confirmed its objective of a provisional turnover of 160 million for the remainder of the year.

BioAlliance Pharma has announced a record turnover of 15.2 million euros in the second quarter against 1.5 million a year earlier, after recording in April in the United States Loramyc, light treatment of fungal infections of the mouth patients with cancer or AIDS.

As for ads, Alstom said it had won contracts valued at about 450 million euros for the construction of two units for a combined cycle power plant India.

Legrand announced Thursday a takeover offer for Indo Asian Switchgear India, where he produced nearly 4% of its annual turnover after the acquisition. Indo Asian Switchgea aims for 2010 sales of more than 35 million euros.

Maurel and Prom announced Thursday it had increased to approximately 70 million euros the amount of its issuance of Oceanes five years following the year's total allotment option.

Pernod Ricard raises its forecasts

Pernod Ricard has raised its annual forecast for Thursday operating profit due to improved economic conditions. The group of wines and spirits brands owner Ricard, Absolut, Havana Club, said in a statement that its sales showed a growth of 2% at constant exchange during the year ended June 30

Pernod Ricard said however that "given a negative foreign exchange impact of approximately -1% (turned positive in the second half) and a perimeter effect of -3%, primarily related to sales of brand Wild Turkey and Tia Maria, 2009-2010 turnover was slightly down -2%.

He added: "The year was marked by an economic improvement over that of last year, especially during the second half. Pernod Ricard has continued to benefit from its broad portfolio of premium brands. "

Turnover increased by 9% at constant scope and exchange in the second half, with growth estimated at 3% in the fourth quarter alone. Pernod Ricard said that Asia and Latin America are "remained very dynamic." The improvement trend continued in Eastern Europe, the United States and Duty Free markets. The activity continued to decline overall in western Europe (particularly Spain and the United Kingdom, and more recently in Greece). "

For the full year, the company is now targeting organic growth in operating profit of between 3% and 4%, while it expects an increase of 3% previously.

The turnover and the final results of 2009-2010 will be published Sept. 2.

Use of frames: the worst is over

The use of frames is better. The worst is over. According to the barometer of Apec, 52% of companies surveyed have recruited at least one frame in the second quarter. Five points higher than last year. 43% of companies say they will recruit in the third quarter, eight points higher than the third quarter of 2009. "The results this quarter are at a level close to the situation two years ago," wrote the experts from APEC. Computer science, engineering and business services accounted for this improvement. In the first two sectors, more than half of companies recruit more than a year ago.

However, the situation remains difficult in construction where the recruitment of three companies in four are stable or declining.

Good news for graduates: improving the recruitment forecasts for the first time since the crisis began in 2008. According to APEC, 38% of companies want to hire youth in the third quarter. Four points higher than a year ago. A quarter of managers hired since the beginning of the year are young graduates. For cons, the elderly have always struggled to attract employers. Managers with more than twenty years of experience represent only 9% of new hires.

The crisis has reduced the mobility of executives in 2009

Attractiveness: France wants to get rid of misconceptions

On the ground of appeal as that of growth, France is doing "less bad" than its main competitors. It is the belief of the French Agency for International Investment (AFII), which on Monday published its panel's attractiveness in 2010, in collaboration with the Center for Strategic Analysis (CAS), Treasury and Datar. While foreign direct investment last year saw a decline of 41% in developed countries, they have fallen "only" 35% in France.

The Hexagon's interest to maintain this advantage: the French subsidiaries of foreign groups provide more than 2.5 million jobs, 20% of R & D and almost 40% of these exports are linked to foreign establishments.And since 2007, when the crisis was suffering its effects, new investment decisions by foreign companies will be permitted to "maintain or create approximately 30,000 jobs" each year.

"Beware the gap between what the economic data and leave out the perception of foreign investors," said Monday David Appia, president of the AFII. This paper attempts to twist the particular blow to conventional wisdom: that France would not fiscally attractive to businesses. "People often think that taxation in France is a weak point but in reality the situation is more complex," said Director General of CAS, Vincent Chriqui No fax payday advance.It must be determined "globally", argue the AFII and CAS.

"Strong signals"

The tax can not be reduced to the corporate tax (IS). "The effective tax burden on enterprises in France is much lower than the nominal rate of the SI would suggest," says the report. It must also consider the tax base and exemptions. Ultimately, if we look at the revenue of the IS reported to EBITDA, "France is in a better position, with a tax rate of approximately 17% of profits." Dietary improvements reserved for impatriate removing the ceiling of the research tax credit – now "the strongest incentive to Europe" – and the removal of business tax on productive investments also "sent a strong signal towards investors foreigners.

More generally, France is ranked fifth in the world for business location costs (employment, installation, transportation, taxes, equipment and energy) and one in Europe, the document stresses the AFII, which compiles data and existing rankings, making comparisons between France and eleven other neighboring countries.