It's official: the economy in the euro zone will be better than expected. The European Central Bank has acknowledged Thursday by raising its growth forecast for 2010 and 2011. According to new figures, the business would grow in 2010 in a range between 1.4 and 1.8% from 0.7% to 1.3% estimated earlier. By 2011, growth would be between 0.5% and 2.3%, against +0.2% +2.2% previously.

"The range of real GDP growth this year has been revised upward due to stronger than expected rebound in economic growth in the second quarter and better than expected trends observed during the months of summer," explained the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet."For 2011, the band has also been revised up to reflect mainly the lingering effects of the stronger growth expected in late 2010."

Uncertainty

Despite these upward revisions, "uncertainty continues to prevail," said Jean-Claude Trichet nuanced. On the other hand, "the resumption of activity should be constrained by the process of balance sheet adjustments in various sectors and the prospects of the labor market."

Especially, the growth differentials are widening between the different countries of the eurozone, economists noted. When Germany led the run with 2.2% growth in the second quarter, Greece sinking into recession with a decline of 1.5% of GDP. Same trend for national unemployment rates. In these circumstances, the ECB's strategy looks complicated.

This is not a problem, "replied Jean-Claude Trichet: the Fed, the U.S., is in the same position for decades with 50 states. "Over the past decade, the lowest growth of a U.S. state was 0.9% (Ohio) and the highest 4.7% (Arizona). We observed the same discrepancy in the euro area over the same period, "argued the president of the ECB. Same thing for the unemployment rates have spread from 3.5% to 14% depending on the states. Again, we found the same range in the Eurozone. "

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Even Sotheby's, all recipes are good for boiling the kettle. On 23 September in New York, establishing world-class sales, which usually dispersed collections of paintings or jewelry the most prestigious, will auction … vegetables. But not just any old vegetable he will, almost extinct varieties of pumpkins, pumpkins and eggplants with the production, organic of course, is essentially American. Farmers in several states are currently pushing so valuable prizes. Simmered meals by top chefs and baskets will also be awarded.

Funds raised during this sale, called "The Art of Agriculture", are intended to teach children about nutrition.Agricultural projects for new organic farmers are supported.

Very rare, these vegetables will be presented very expensive: Unions mixing gourd "Lady Godiva Squash" and other "Pink Banana Pumpkin" will be priced at 1000 dollars. If vegetables are then donated to charities, gourmets can buy discrètement.Charles Gautier

The CAC 40 is a little break after a meeting at which bounce saw the benchmark index of Paris close to over 3%. On Friday, the markets begin the session on a slight decline from 0.13% to 3595.66 points. The waiting game surrounding the publication of results of stress tests of European banks is felt. Already, the euro back a bit against the dollar at 1.2889 dollars around 9:00.

Yesterday, U.S. markets have done a great meeting Thursday at which time the Dow has gained almost 2%. U.S. markets relatively insensitive to the announcement of a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registrations have been worn by the overall business results above consensus.

In terms of macroeconomic statistics, the session looks very calm.No major indicator is expected in the United States.

In France, the French household consumption of manufactured goods fell 1.4% in June after the previous month was supported by purchases of televisions before the World Cup, according to figures published by INSEE before the opening markets. Throughout the second quarter, it shows a decrease of 0.9% after falling 1.9% on the first three months of the year. Analysts on average expected a rise of 0.2% in June

The Germans will unveil their Ifo business climate.

TF1 reviewing its objectives to increase

The stress test, however, occupy the banking sector.BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, Natixis (BPCE) or Dexia should respond.

Moreover, the markets will again this session to analyze several quarterly publications:

TF1 announced before market sales ad up 11% in the first semester for a total turnover of 1.28 billion euros, above the consensus. Net income group share was 74 million euros over the period. The objectives are significantly revised upward with a turnover in 2010 rose by 7% instead of 4%.

STMicroelectronics reported Thursday a profit above expectations at 18 cents per share with a turnover up 27% to 2.53 billion. Analysts on average expected a profit of 14 cents per share and a turnover of 2.513 billion dollars.

Pernod Ricard noted Thursday its annual forecast for operating profit thanks to the improved economic environment and its position in emerging markets. Its turnover in 2009-2010 emerged, up 2% on a comparable basis.

Ubisoft has released a turnover up 94% in the first quarter of 2010-2011, to 161 million euros and confirmed its objective of a provisional turnover of 160 million for the remainder of the year.

BioAlliance Pharma has announced a record turnover of 15.2 million euros in the second quarter against 1.5 million a year earlier, after recording in April in the United States Loramyc, light treatment of fungal infections of the mouth patients with cancer or AIDS.

As for ads, Alstom said it had won contracts valued at about 450 million euros for the construction of two units for a combined cycle power plant India.

Legrand announced Thursday a takeover offer for Indo Asian Switchgear India, where he produced nearly 4% of its annual turnover after the acquisition. Indo Asian Switchgea aims for 2010 sales of more than 35 million euros.

Maurel and Prom announced Thursday it had increased to approximately 70 million euros the amount of its issuance of Oceanes five years following the year's total allotment option.

On the ground of appeal as that of growth, France is doing "less bad" than its main competitors. It is the belief of the French Agency for International Investment (AFII), which on Monday published its panel's attractiveness in 2010, in collaboration with the Center for Strategic Analysis (CAS), Treasury and Datar. While foreign direct investment last year saw a decline of 41% in developed countries, they have fallen "only" 35% in France.

The Hexagon's interest to maintain this advantage: the French subsidiaries of foreign groups provide more than 2.5 million jobs, 20% of R & D and almost 40% of these exports are linked to foreign establishments.And since 2007, when the crisis was suffering its effects, new investment decisions by foreign companies will be permitted to "maintain or create approximately 30,000 jobs" each year.

"Beware the gap between what the economic data and leave out the perception of foreign investors," said Monday David Appia, president of the AFII. This paper attempts to twist the particular blow to conventional wisdom: that France would not fiscally attractive to businesses. "People often think that taxation in France is a weak point but in reality the situation is more complex," said Director General of CAS, Vincent Chriqui No fax payday advance.It must be determined "globally", argue the AFII and CAS.

"Strong signals"

The tax can not be reduced to the corporate tax (IS). "The effective tax burden on enterprises in France is much lower than the nominal rate of the SI would suggest," says the report. It must also consider the tax base and exemptions. Ultimately, if we look at the revenue of the IS reported to EBITDA, "France is in a better position, with a tax rate of approximately 17% of profits." Dietary improvements reserved for impatriate removing the ceiling of the research tax credit – now "the strongest incentive to Europe" – and the removal of business tax on productive investments also "sent a strong signal towards investors foreigners.

More generally, France is ranked fifth in the world for business location costs (employment, installation, transportation, taxes, equipment and energy) and one in Europe, the document stresses the AFII, which compiles data and existing rankings, making comparisons between France and eleven other neighboring countries.

Doing better than last May 27. That was the declared objective of the unions on Thursday morning, when an earlier day of action against the pension reform was mobilized between 395,000 and one million people (according to police and unions respectively) on the streets. Since then, times have changed. The government has announced plans for pension reform last week. A text that unions have unanimously considered "unfair."

In the afternoon, the figures for participation in parades and the strike rate was rather encouraging for the Inter-CGT, CFDT, UNSA, Solidaires, FSU and CFTC, the origin of this new day of action against government project.While some 200 rallies are planned across France on Thursday morning parades that took place from north to south have already attracted more people than May 27

It says that Bernard Thibault, secretary general of the CGT:

Barely buried by the G20 already risen by the European Union? The leaders of the 27 would have agreed on the principle of a tax on banks, according to AFP. Agence France-Presse has procured the draft final agreement from the summit of Heads of State of the EU on June 17.

The text states that "the European Council agrees that a tax on financial institutions to be introduced to ensure that they contribute to pay the price crisis." The implementation would occur in "October 2010", according to the document approved by the ambassadors of member countries in Brussels.

The EU, supported by the Franco-German agreement on the subject, then move only hear about this proposed tax. The G20 had indeed rejected the draft on June 5 last, at the request of Japan, Canada and emerging economies, including Brazil.The topic will be placed on the mat during the next World Summit in Toronto in late June, at the initiative of the Europeans.

"The debate is over"

If the 27 Member States seem to agree on the principle of bank charges, how applications are still a problem. Finance ministers should floor on the issue to ensure "equal treatment" between banks to prevent the European institutions are not penalized compared to their foreign competitors.

EU leaders also wonder on what basis will apply the tax, ie the profits or assets of banks, for example. The biggest uncertainty also use it will be made of revenues generated. "The debate is really over," admitted one European diplomat.

The European Commission wants a fund of insurance of the financial sector, and giving assistance to banks in case of major difficulties. Paris and Berlin for their part, prefer that the money collected feed budgets. "Of what use to mobilize billions of euros in an insurance fund for money to sleep?" Asks a diplomat.

Finally, a country like Luxembourg, a leading financial center, particularly for investment funds, would prefer to introduce a tax on financial transactions in the most speculative.

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Forget the sessions in the red Wednesday. Place in dark green well on Thursday. Markets after the euphoria that led to yesterday's Wall Street close on a rise of 2.25%. U.S. indexes are made by good macroeconomic statistics on housing and automotive sectors.

This morning, the Japanese Nikkei has started the session on a gain of 1.62% and has risen steadily to reach an increase of 3.13% to 9903.75 points shortly before the mid-session. The TOPIX gained 2.42% on his side to 891.14 points. In addition to optimism about the U.S. economic recovery, the rating is supported by Japanese exporters who values this morning, enjoy a favorable decline in the yen. Toyota gained 3.24% and in plenary at 3340 yen, and Panasonic 3.75% to 1188 yen. Around 6:00, the dollar was up slightly to 92.20 yen while the euro rose more frankly, to 113.32 yen.

The Japanese invenstisseurs also anticipate the appointment of Finance Minister Naoto Kan as prime minister following the resignation of the head of the center-left Yukio Hatoyama. Naoto Kan market support measures in the economic positions which are considered by operators reassuring low fee payday advance. Finance Minister calls for a weaker yen, an increase in consumption tax and a cap on the deficit. He is currently the only declared candidate and a favorite for prime minister, who will be appointed Friday.

The rest of the region is bathed in green

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng turns the page of a tough session on Thursday for an increase of 1.84% at 19,830 points.Ditto for the Shanghai Composite, which gained 0.62% to 2587 points.

In Korea, the Kosdaq is 0.70% to 1268 points, and Australia, the S & P recorded a growth of 2.13% to 4474 points. Finally, in India, Sensex 1.53% allows itself to 16,998 points.

Oil follows the movement

The rise in the markets has also evolved over the crude above $ 73 a barrel in electronic trading Thursday in Asia. In morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery 70 cents to 73.56 dollars, while Brent North Sea with identical maturity, gained 72 cents to 74.47 dollars.

A few minutes after playing the ukulele, billionaire Warren Buffett held a highly anticipated speech on his views on the matter Goldman Sachs during his famous annual general meeting of shareholders of his holding company Berkshire Hathaway.

If prosecution by the SEC (Constable American Stock Exchange) fraud linked to subprime * from Goldman Sachs, now coupled with a criminal investigation, has reopened the debate on capitalism in general and the behavior of banks in particular, "said the sage of Omaha supports the weight of the world's largest bank, in which he invested in September 2008 – is in financial crisis – some five billion dollars.

Before 40,000 investors whose excitement gave way to silence, the star of finance has given quite a boost to the credibility of Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs boss – who is still not at the end of its penalties – and his bank, which suffers in the stock exchange since the complaint the SEC on April 16: From U.S. $ 184.3 to 145.2 dollars, the stock has tumbled 21.3%, of which -9.4% Friday while S & P advised to "sell" the securities.

Also in humor, Warren Buffett, who is seeking a successor – he will blow his 80th birthday next August – will be delighted that Lloyd has a twin brother "to select it.More seriously, without giving names, Warren Buffett assured that if he died tomorrow, there would be "a new CEO within 24 hours."

Accepting mistakes

"It's a little hard for me to have much sympathy for a bank that has made the wrong choice," he said, referring to financial institutions that bought the famous product Abacus created by the young French Fabrice Tourre .

Certainly, the financial product was very complex, but, as the guru, a bank like ABN Amro knows what she does when she made a "deal". But this one has not made the expected result for the Dutch establishment. We must assume, for Warren Buffett.

The fault with the regulations, not banks

While the banking sector reform in the United States wades, Warren Buffett believes that this regulation is responsible for the financial woes in recent years, not the banks.

According to Deputy Buffett, Charlie Munger, who spoke on Sunday, "the problem is that our banks and investment banks are regulated by a combination of permissiveness and stupidity." For him, the bankers are problems like tigers escaped circus gone mad. "It's that idiot guard tiger who has not made the job" summarizes the investor. "The regulatory system of government has deceived us."

Berkshire Hathaway goes green

The Berkshire Hathaway investment fund billionaire is ironed in the green in the first quarter with net earnings of $ 3.63 billion, while filming a loss of 1.53 billion over the same period a year earlier ."These results show that the economy is showing signs of significant occasions for the first time," concluded Warren Buffett.

Announced Saturday, these preliminary figures attest to the vibrancy of its business in derivatives, which revives the profits from 1.41 billion dollars, while the loss was $ 3.24 billion in the first three months of the year.

Operating income rose 30% to 2.2 billion dollars against 1.7 billion a year earlier.

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LE FIGARO. – Activation Plan aid to Greece Will there be enough to reassure the markets?

BART VAN ARK. – Nothing is less certain. If using the rescue plan EU-IMF had become inevitable due to the rates imposed by markets, one plan will not help. It will take others. Because Greece can not simply put in order its public finances. She will have to undertake structural reforms, which, by definition, are long and painful. It must focus on its productivity, decreased significantly, and quickly find a way to create jobs.

Before release the money, should there be a new dose of austerity in Greece?

To have a chance to be swallowed, the pill should not be too bitter. If you cut too much spending, it will exacerbate the risk of recession.At the same time, Greece has to reassure the markets over the medium and long term, by engaging in a meaningful and specific reforms. It is not shocking to ask Greece for new safeguards.

The risk of contagion to other European countries there in recent days?

I do not think. Markets are well sorted. Portugal and Spain are in very different situations of Greece. Although Portugal has a similar financial problem and a serious deficit of structural reforms, the situation is less dramatic than that of Greece paydayloans. As for Spain, much larger economy, it began structural reforms, and its banking sector is stronger.

The cohesion of the euro area is at risk?

I do not think so.The eurozone saw, for sure, his first financial and economic crisis. But this is not the end of the Euro! This crisis, which I find exciting force, in contrast, Euroland more economic integration. Europe must urgently address this need for economic integration. There is no other way. The hypothesis of a breakdown of the euro area is not realistic to my eyes.

More integration, it means there a belt tightening for everybody?

In the short term it seems inevitable. Public deficits rise between 5% and 10% of GDP. They strike even the most virtuous countries such as Germany, which will perhaps five years to return to fiscal sanity. The euro area has become credible.In the medium term, more integration, it means more responsibility for each other in their economic policy.

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Not seen since the launch of the classification in 1985! For the first time in 2008, BAE Systems, an advocacy group for non-American, became the leading supplier of arms. The information, published Monday, comes from the International Institute for Peace Research (SIPRI), a Swedish think tank considered a reference material.

According to SIPRI, BAE Systems has been leading the 100 largest arms suppliers in favor of the U.S. market. "The company is based in the UK but generates more than half its sales in the United States. BAE demonstrates the internationalization of the arms industry and the strong appeal of the U.S. market, "says Susan Jackson, an expert of SIPRI.

Sales of BAE established in 2008 to $ 32.4 billion.The bulk of these revenues came from a command of the U.S. Department of Defence who bought vehicles MRAP (Mine Resistant Ambush Protected) as part of the war in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Boeing beat, Navistar enters

BAE Systems therefore delighted number one place to Boeing. The American group, with 29.2 billion worth of arms sales, slipped to third place, and is placed behind his compatriot Lockheed Martin (29.4 billion).

Elsewhere in the rankings after three American groups, Northrup Grumman, General Dynamics and Raytheon low fee pay day loans. EADS is in seventh place. Italian Finmeccanica is eighth, while the French Thales is tenth.

Almaz-Antei, is the first Russian company to make its entry in the top 20 at the eighteenth spot.With 4.3 billion turnover in 2008, "Almaz-Antei has tripled its sales since 2003," says the SIPRI.

For its part, the American Navistar made a sensational debut in twentieth place with 3.9 billion in revenue from sales to the U.S. Department of Defense. "This represents an increase of 960% compared to 2007," says the think tank.

Three times the development assistance

The SIPRI does not fail to note that in 2008 the 100 largest arms suppliers have made 385 billion dollars in revenue, a figure rising to 39 billion by 2007."This represents more than three times the total development assistance of OECD countries (120 billion dollars)," lamented the SIPRI.

According to the findings of the ranking, sales of BAE are equivalent to the GDP of 105 countries worldwide, while Lockheed Martin exceed 4 billion development aid from the United States.

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