Wall Street closed on a nice increase on Tuesday. Finally the green, while the day was very hard: the Nasdaq fell 6.90%. On Tuesday, at the opening, the rebound was in order. And even if it was shaken by the Fed, which held a speech rather worrying to 20 hours (Paris time), the trend is finally returned to positive. At the close, the Dow actually increased from 3.98% to 11,240 points, with a surge in the last few minutes, and recross the threshold of 11,000 points, lost yesterday.The Standard & Poor's 500 and 100 Nadsad, very volatile, too, have finally rebounded 4.75% respectively) in 1173 and 5.29% points to 2483 points.

A sustained increase in contrast to the cold reception that investors gave the Fed about tonight: the Central Bank of the United States announced Tuesday it would keep its key interest rate near zero "in least until mid-2013 "and that it was considering new stimulus package to help the economy. These ads have been justified by growth 'considerably slower' than expected and risks "have increased". And investors did not like the Fed is so accommodating, a sign that the economy is really bad.But ultimately, they are relieved that the monetary authorities are behind them.

Also very anxious before the meeting with the Fed, the European and Asian market, have they finally closed in the green after a yoyo session. In Paris the CAC 40 fell below 3,000 points for the first time since July 2009. But the trend seems to have subsided, the indices being pressed into the green in the afternoon.

Global oil demand to decrease

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Tuesday lowered its forecast for growth in global demand for crude in 2011, citing deteriorating macroeconomic outlook in most advanced economies paydayloans. In its monthly report, OPEC reduced its forecast of 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) now and plans for this year growth in global demand of 1.21 million bpd of crude.In financial markets, oil prices ended Tuesday to its lowest level since September 29, 2010, yielding about 2.5%. On the Nymex, the contract on September U.S. crude (WTI) ended on a loss of 2.01 dollars, or 2.47% to 79.30 dollars a barrel. Meanwhile, Brent advanced yielded 1.74%, or 1.81 dollar to 101.93 dollars.

Earlier this afternoon, investors are aware of a new better than expected, but still not glorifying to the future of U.S. growth. Productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, fell at an annual rate of 0.3% over the period April to June after falling 0.6% the previous quarter (revised from 1.8%). The market expected it folds down from 0.8% in the second quarter.

Face communication at high risk of the Fed tonight, "it is clear that the average productivity of U.S. companies in the second quarter is very far from the concerns of the market and will go unnoticed" analysts suggest Aurel BGC. Especially since the figure is clearly negative, the victim of an increasingly weakened growth.

The market capitalization of U.S. computer maker Apple (5.89% to 374.01 dollars) briefly exceeded that of the oil giant ExxonMobbil (2.39% to 71.87 dollars) Tuesday, becoming the company's most expensive the world, said a specialist told AFP. The market capitalization of both groups were around 340 billion dollars in the afternoon in New York, told AFP Volokhine Gregory, head of markets for the company portfolio management Meeschaert New York.That of Apple rose temporarily above that of ExxonMobil to 7:20 p.m..

Cyprus is on the brink both economically and politically. Many speculate that the country, which joined the euro in 2008 to become the fourth of the area to apply for financial support.

The situation worsened with the explosion on July 11 last of a shipment of arms on a naval base. The tragedy left 13 dead and destroyed the main power plant on the island that produced 60% of its electricity. Since the disaster, Cyprus is facing a government crisis. Daily demonstrations demanding the resignation of President Demetris Christofias. To calm discontent, the latter requested the July 28 resignation of the government to conduct a reshuffle.

In addition, the economy ends up weaker than ever. The rating agency Moody's has revised its forecast for GDP growth of 1.5% this year and 2.5% in 2012 down after the explosion.It provides stability in 2011 and a 1% growth in 2012. In addition to the cost of rebuilding the plant and import of electricity in the interval – valued at over one billion euros – daily cuts disrupt an economy already weakened by the crisis. As a result, Standard & Poor's and Moody's both lowered the rating last week in Cyprus due to budgetary concerns of the country.

The banks are the Achilles heel of the Cypriots. Bank of Cyprus, the largest financial institution on the island, called earlier this week the government in Nicosia to take prompt action to prevent the country does need a financial rescue plan. "Unless we act, we risk the ability of the state to refinance and the consequences will be immediate and serious," the bank said in a statement.

The deficit is widening

Especially since the official debt of Cyprus – which accounts for about 61% of GDP – may actually be higher according to some experts. End of 2010, the agency Stock Watch estimates that the debt was around Cyprus 105% of GDP, if we include the debt of social security funds. Enough to feed all the speculation? The spokesman of the Commissioner of Financial Services, Chantal Hughes said Tuesday he was "no question of an assistance plan" because the country is "determined to do what is necessary in terms of fiscal consolidation" . However, the deficit in the first half widened sharply, reaching 3.5% of GDP against 1.9% a year earlier.

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The cost of housing is a key criterion for the French when accepting a job. A study by the Research Center for the Study and Observation of Living Conditions (Crédoc) reveals that weighs so heavily in real household budget that "70% of workers say they would refuse a job better than they currently hold if this would cause a move leading to an increase in their housing costs (agency fees and transfer, new housing too expensive, etc.).. "

More than half (56%) of 2006 respondents at the request of the MEDEF, which counts among its ranks of companies to recruit Penant – state and not be forced to move a test is "very important" in the choice of a new job. Experts emphasize Crédoc for comparison as these assets are only 48% to include the amount of compensation as a criterion."The hope of wage gain does not appear to offset the fear of having to spend more on housing and, finally, many prefer not to move," says the study. Worse, Of the 4.6 million registered unemployed in job center, 500,000 – 11% – have given up a job in the last five years for failing to support an additional financial cost housing.

The origin of this choice: two realities, closely linked. Most jobs are concentrated in large urban areas (77% according to INSEE), while house prices explode, due to strong demand and the housing shortage."A growing proportion of employees in particular within the middle classes – and those seeking employment can no longer reside in the inner cities of large urban centers because rents are too high or because the purchase price housing beyond their financial capabilities, "says the study cash advance in one hour. Consequently, the travel time longer, making it difficult to reconcile private and professional life. Thus, 7% of people of working age said they had given up a job because of excessive travel time.

The barrier property

And the situation is equally difficult for wealthier households, who already own. The survey confirms that 80% of them are reluctant to move.A remark already made in macroeconomic analysis by economist Andrew Oswald and the OECD, which show that countries where the ownership rate is higher are also those where the unemployment rate is higher.

In conclusion, the Crédoc recalls "the need to take into account the housing issue when looking for employment," and that the introduction of housing assistance devices may have a direct impact. For example, the study suggests using Housing Action (formerly "1% logement") funded by companies for their employees. If experts say Crédoc a comprehensive study is needed to accurately assess the system, they note, however, that the study results show a positive effect on the mobility of employees and hence on employment. A conclusion that is sure to please the sponsor of the survey.July 18, the MEDEF employers' organization joined with labor unions to protest a drain of 3.4 million euros under the State Housing Action funds.

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The benchmark rents (IRL) confirmed its recovery according to statistics released Wednesday by the National Institute of Statistics (INSEE). After an increase of 1.60% in the first quarter of 2011 – compared to the same period in 2010 – it rose again, to 1.73% on a year in the second quarter. So this is a new record pace since the first quarter of 2009. The index then rose from 2.24% before declining for several quarters. In late 2009, he even fell 0.06%. He now records his sixth consecutive quarter of growth.

This index is used in France as a reference for the annual review of residential rents when the lease provides. Authorizes up the new owners to raise rents of 1 faxless payday advance.73% maximum.The increase applies to leases made after that date, as well as current leases if the lease specifies that the IRL for the third quarter is the basis for the review.

The benchmark rents are calculated on the basis of the index of consumer prices excluding tobacco and rents. This new increase is logical given the slight upturn in inflation recorded in France. The latter, according to figures from INSEE, rose 2.1% year on year in June.

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Barack Obama sought Monday to change the tone of the negotiations on reducing the budget deficit. "I am ready to face criticism from Democrats for an agreement that allows to raise the debt ceiling," said Monday the president of the United States, before resuming discussions with congressional leaders have fallen into the impasse. "We will reach agreement before August 2," promised the president at a press conference.

Placing himself as an arbiter between the two factions partisan, Barack Obama said: "The Republicans are going to have to compromise, as the Democrats." He hoped that the negotiations continue "all day", "until a solution is found."

Their challenge is twofold. The first is to adopt a compromise that reduces the medium to long-term U.S. budget deficits.But the compromise also depends on the adoption by August 2 of a law that raises the ceiling for the debt of the United States. Otherwise, the U.S. Treasury would no longer issue the bonds needed to honor the debts of Uncle Sam was general such a defect of the United States would have catastrophic consequences for the entire global economy.

Avoiding tax increases

During the weekend negotiations have stalled or even declined. Democrats accuse Republicans of blocking any agreement by refusing the principle of tax increases. For their part, Republicans reject the approach proposed by Barack Obama on an ambitious four trillion dollars in savings over ten years.They are rather a compromise of around 2 trillion, thinking to keep their campaign promise to block any tax increase.

To complicate matters, the elected Democrats have their doubts about the path traced by the White House. Barack Obama asks them, in fact, painful concessions in the form of savings in programs popular pension and health care. Yet the Democrats do not want to pay the price in the November 2012 legislative concessions that make a great historical compromise personal serving the cause of Barack Obama but not his party.In addition, the recent rise in unemployment leads them to reconsider their promise to reduce government spending made a few weeks ago as part of negotiations led by the then vice president, Joe Biden.

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Not easy for a luxury hotel to establish itself in Paris. While the Mandarin Oriental opens its doors Tuesday, the Royal Monceau (Raffles Paris) and the Shangri-La, opened in October and in December, are still far from displaying the performance of established luxury hotels in the capital, such as the Plaza Athénée or Bristol. Nothing particularly surprising. "A hotel needs two or three years to register as a sustained market, says Gabriel Matar, France Director at Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels. They fail in a market empty of competitors. "

Le Royal Monceau and the Shangri-La certainly contribute to stimulate demand, which is expected to grow 6 to 7% this year. "But they are taking market share than the least well positioned hotels, says Gabriel Matar. The leaders of high-end such as Bristol, the Plaza Athénée and the George V, were not affected.Their occupancy rate improved even since January, and exceeds 75%. "François Delahaye, boss of Dorchester (Meurice and Plaza Athénée), agrees:" It was never as well. We take the same market share. Those losing ground are those who have not invested. "

Le Royal Monceau and the Shangri-La readily admit they have not yet reached their cruising speed. Le Royal Monceau has not yet opened 35 rooms set on 149. Spa and pool will be operational in July. The Shangri-La for its part, announced the inauguration of a new Chinese restaurant on September 8, the third table, but its spa and swimming pool will not be ready until early 2012.

Change of direction at the Royal Monceau

"The results of the first six months of opening is very positive," says Alain Borgers, general manager of Shangri-La. The hotel has attracted its share of celebrities faxless pay day loans.Isabelle Adjani and Jean Reno are down. A son of King Fahd came to the family, occupying much of the hotel for two weeks. "As we expected, we are in the top 3 most expensive hotels in Paris, with an average price above 900 euros, welcomes Alain Borgers. We earn ten points each month occupancy. " This rate should be around 75% in June, with the aim of achieving an average of 80% over the next twelve months. "With the Paris Air Show, we will post full last week, says Alain Borgers. The Imperial Suite, which costs 18,000 euros a night, is busy throughout the month of July. " The Shangri-La, the first hotel chain in Europe who are 72 Asian in the world, located in a building registered in the Buildings of France, was first attracted the French, the Parisians especially at first.They represented up to 40% of hotel guests the first week. "Asians represent 12% of our customers, says Alain Borgers. This rate could rise to 20%. "

At the Royal Monceau, too, the French were the first to discover the hotel. They still represent about 30% of the customers, to the Americans and customers in the Middle East. But the situation is more tense. The Director General, Sylvain Ercoli, just left his post. His replacement is imminent, but it has not yet been announced. "The first two months were difficult. But we have a three-year plan, said Diana Banks, Vice President Sales and Marketing at Raffles.We always aim an occupancy rate of 50% by the end of the year, with prices that start at 780 euros a night. "

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The U.S. textile specialist VF Corporation will put her hand on her compatriot Timberland. That's what we announced on Monday the two groups in a communiqué.VF Corp., which owns brands such as backpacks by The North Face and Eastpak, those pants Wrangler and Lee, or that of Vans shoes, putting on the table $ 43 in cash per share Timberland, a premium of 43.4% from $ 29.99 registered at the close of Friday night. In total, the offer values ​​Timberland approximately $ 2 billion. The operation, which has already been approved by both boards, is expected to close during the third quarter, according to the objectives of VF Corporation.

Timberland, which carries 50% of its international business, this year should reach $ 1.6 billion in sales.Moreover, the management of VF Corporation aims for his target annual sales growth of 10%, and believes that the transaction will be highly beneficial in its own earnings per share in 2011, but also in 2012.

An operation "transforming"

In total, the new entity is expected to exceed $ 10 billion in annual sales. On the one hand, VF account of course benefit from the presence of its target international markets, including Japan, but mainly to diversify its brand portfolio, while bringing to 50% share of its turnover in the outdoor business

The Paris Bourse, which ended the session last night in the red, opened sharply higher on Friday before slowing its progression. Following the announcement by Fitch with a view to lowering the rating of Japan from stable to negative, the CAC 40 progressed still further by 0.81% to 3949.04 points in mid-session. A development that contrasts with the reluctance that dominates world markets. This morning, in fact, Asian stock markets have shown sluggish, and last night in New York, the trend was too timid on the bottom of the front indicators disappointing growth and employment United States. The sharp rise recorded in Paris due to the surge in bank stocks, automobiles and oil.

The news is mainly directed towards the G8.The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that he would continue to make its aid Greece that if he got "assurances" that the country is able to repay the money. "When we lend money, it is not I who do this are all over the world that lend to Greece," said Director of External Relations of the Fund, Caroline Atkinson. Moreover, during the G8, the IMF has proposed aid up to 35 billion euros to support the Arab countries. On the other hand, the international community must "lend its support to Côte d'Ivoire for its development," called the Ivorian president Alassane Ouattara, who estimates it takes between 15 and 20 billion euros for his country.

The euro to over $ 1.42

Side economic statistics, nothing is planned in France.In Europe, however, the economic sentiment deteriorated more than expected in May in the euro area, optimism ceding ground in all sectors, according to data released Friday by the European Commission.

Note that a meeting of European telecom ministers held in Brussels today. United States, expenditures and household incomes (April), consumer confidence from the University of Michigan (May) and promises of housing sales (May) are expected.

On the currency front, the euro fell back against the dollar and is trading at mid-day to more than $ 1.42, reaching 1.4216 dollars around 12:25 pm precisely. The dollar weakened with poor indicators published yesterday.However, he recorded a new record low against the Swiss franc, the concerns on debt in Europe getting the upper hand despite speculation about increased Chinese investments in European debt. The President of the European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet said a further rise in rates of the euro area will not be immediate, says the Wall Street Journal.

The oil rating over 100 dollars in New York.

The rating of Dexia was suspended

Ingenico is leading the SBF120 in mid-session, up 5.72% to 32.35 euros, in view of the benefits of contactless payment system launched by Google and ensure the French group which participates.

Derichebourg once more took 2.82% mid-term. The CAC, it is the banks where smiling.Credit Agricole, BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Natixis and Axa rise by 4%, 1.84%, 1.92%, 1.33% and 0.76%.

Some European banks, including French Societe Generale and BNP Paribas could avoid in part the prudential standards called Basel III, according to a draft text quoted by the Financial Times. In addition, Citi has gone to "overweight" on BNP Paribas, one of his favorite European banks.

Note that the listing of Dexia was suspended on the Paris Bourse, at the request of the Belgian regulator.Trading will resume when the "appropriate information" will be published.

Accor stands: + 1.03% to 31.26 euros, while the values ​​of the car, Michelin, Peugeot and Renault are also oriented, with respective increases of 0.85%, 1.11% and 0.56%.

However, the latter manufacturer, sales show a 35% drop since early May and the French car manufacturer is concerned that this situation might continue a few more months, the BFM radio reported Friday. This drop in sales has forced some dealers to concede significant price reductions with "discounts" of up to 45% on certain models of Clio, the station added. Furthermore, Renault early 2012 a small entry level car developed in India on a platform of low-cost Nissan, La Tribune reported Friday.

Areva.The subsidiary of Areva's mining pole should be subject to the approval of the supervisory board of the company July 21, said Thursday the European Group Committee (CEM) of nuclear specialist public.

EADS (-0.42% to 22.41 euros) confirmed the date of first delivery of Airbus A350, but one of the airlines, estimates that two or three variations of this device could be delayed by six months, reports The Figaro on Friday. According to Flight International, Qatar Airways may order A380s at Paris Air Show.

Dassault Aviation (1.01% to 702.12 euros). The entire business jet Falcon 7X group were grounded after an incident in flight on one of these devices, announced the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA).

Veolia (0.58% to 20.66 euros).The share of international activities of the group should increase in coming years, thanks to expected growth in Asia and North America, said Thursday the Director of International Affairs Group of utilities.

This Friday, Ipsen and Alcatel-Lucent will hold their general meeting.

Examined on Wednesday by the Council of Ministers, the premium for employees contemplated by the government is determined by a majority of French. According to the barometer ViaVoice – BPCE projects realized for the French Les Echos and France Info in May of 1008 with people, 62% of French people consider it a "good solution" to increase the power purchase. Satisfaction that does not overflowing with enthusiasm as 49% think it is a "fair solution", against 13% who speak of a "good solution".

All professional groups say they are mostly favorable to the premium, with the exception of the category of artisans, merchants and entrepreneurs. But the relatively small number of respondents this result into perspective. Mandatory for companies with more than 50 employees whose benefits increase, the premium could affect 4 million employees.Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, confirmed Wednesday morning that she would be paid this year.

But the prospect of the premium is not sufficient to reduce the pessimism of the French on the evolution of their purchasing power. One in two (50%) still think it will diminish over the next three months, a figure unchanged from the month of April, but slightly lower than in March (54%). Some respondents, however, gradually come to swell the ranks of the optimists: 17% of respondents now believe that their purchasing power will increase, as against 15% in April and 13% in March payday loans. The pollster said that perceptions remain very sensitive to gasoline prices, declining for several weeks.

Gasoline is also one of the expenditure items of most concern to the French, cited by 48% of respondents, just behind the power (50%).It is followed by electricity (32%) and gas (23%).

The car-buying intentions up

The perception of the economic climate has improved a little, but remains fragile. Purchase intent for food and clothing are stabilizing: those who plan to spend less money now represent only 30% of respondents, against 37% in April. However, they are not added to the optimists who plan to spend more money in coming months (11%), but with careful who intend to spend as much. These represent 57% in May, against 49% in April.

The intentions of buying car also significantly increased from 4% to 5% in March, April and finally 9% in May The savings intentions are also increasing: 41% intend to put as much money aside in recent months, against 31% in March and April, and 10% to save more, against 9% previously.

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Member states of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), announced that the race to succeed Dominique Strauss-Kahn to head IMF will open on Monday. The board of directors composed of representatives from 24 countries and country groups, will collect applications until June 10 nominations. He has set a "target" to designate a replacement directeurdémissionnaire and prosecuted for sexual crimes in New York "by 30 June."

The board has promised that that choice would be "an open, merit-based and transparent." In a statement, the U.S. Treasury secrétaie, Timothy Geithner had these words, calling hopes for the selection process "open and fast."The procedure that has consistently taken a European to head the institution in Washington, however, remained unchanged.

The "consensus" is not unanimously

If there are three or less, they will be revealed at the closing depots, June 10 If there are more than three names will be kept confidential to determine time preference "by consensus", except by a vote, a shortlist of three candidates in the best position. The Board may also select the chief executive by majority vote.

On Thursday, India's representative on the board Arvind Virmani had told AFP he wanted a vote, more "democratic" consensus that is "not transparent".It has not been heard.

The daily procedures of the Board of the IMF mix a little of both: the 24 members vote formally well, but in practice they do not submit voting decisions over which they have previously agreed. Daniel Bradlow, professor of law at Washington specializing in international institutions and the IMF, the transatlantic axis remains dominant in every way. "Voting does not necessarily mean democracy. Even imagining a secret ballot, administrators do not necessarily want to go against a European given as a favorite, nor among those who do not announce publicly that they voted for the new CEO, says he AFP.

The emerging shared

The European continent has clearly shown its desire to present a candidate, Christine Lagarde the French who appear to be the favorite.Last votes to rule in his favor, his German counterpart, Finance, Wolfgang Schäuble, who has judged Saturday "as a perfectly appropriate person for this position."

Countries emerging BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), which could provide a solid weight-cons to a European candidate, showed no unity.

The Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega is not completely hostile to the idea of ​​a European, although he preferred a priori elsewhere. Moscow already has its candidate, Grigory Marchenko Kazakh. South Africa and India could push the front of the stage they are ready candidates, respectively Trevor Manuel and Montek Singh Ahluwalia. And Beijing is considering to submit one, that has not been clearly chosen.

Another emerging importance, Mexico, now officially campaigning for the governor of its central bank, Agustin Carstens.The Turk Kemal Dervis, who was considered a good compromise between the European and emerging markets, had withdrawn from the race.

The United States, without whose support it is not possible to win, wanted "a candidate with strong experience and leadership qualities required, and able to obtain broad support." Very popular in Washington, Christine Lagarde fits this description.

The description of the ideal candidate given by the IMF is almost the same as when recruiting Dominique Strauss-Kahn in 2007: "outstanding experience in the design of economic policy at high levels, which helps finance ministers , or "communicating effectively", a quality attributed to the French minister for those who soutiennent.Timothy Geithner, who regularly meet at the G8 or G20, wrote in Time Magazine in May 2009 she was one of these "extraordinary individuals" that the world needed at crucial moments such as those caused by the financial crisis.

(With agencies)

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