• Central banks have put out the fire. Policy is to act.

To rebound, stock markets were expecting a strong gesture. A kind of kick in the bottom of the pool after the distressing spectacle of the leaders of member countries of the euro unable to agree on rescue Greece. The first impetus was given by central banks that have decided to tackle the funding problems of European banks. By providing all the liquidity they need dollars, they have the most urgent and avoided a new banking crisis. But the most difficult tasks lie ahead.For central banks are independent organizations, they therefore have the flexibility of movement that do not have the seventeen Member States of the euro. Now it is in the field of European governance, the ability of states to reduce their debt and the solidity of the European financial stability that is expected the euro area. Subjects whose implementation is far from certain and have not finished putting markets under pressure.

• Focus on growth, defensive stocks do not pay more.

The crash of August brought down one of the last great stock market myth: the resilience of defensive stocks in times of crisis. The numbers speak for themselves: Veolia Environnement and Suez, specializing in utilities, a sector traditionally very defensive, yielded 42 and 20% over the last three months.EDF and GDF Suez lost their next 18 and 12%. France Telecom, Vivendi and Vinci also fell sharply. During the summer, these values ​​have not only shown no ability to resist, but they often fell as much as "cyclical" as Lafarge, ArcelorMittal, Saint-Gobain or Peugeot. The only values ​​that really are resilient growth companies in these emerging countries have low debt and strong brands. LVMH is the case, Essilor International, SEB, Air Liquide, Bic or Hermes International. The clear market preference for growth stocks at the expense of defense is not surprising in times of crisis. It is precisely because investors fear a slowdown in the richer countries, that growth is so sought after by scholars.The famous guru of Wall Street, the American Peter Lynch, who long prospered the famous Magellan fund, has shown: in the long run, only the values ​​of growth are able to enrich shareholders. His motto: there is no fortune by multiplying the stock market moves, but the success by joining the best companies at the time.

• Economists fear a growing recession in the United States.

The euro crisis is not the only concern of the operators. According to a survey by the Wall Street Journal on a panel of 53 economists, they believe that there is one chance in three that the United States fell into recession in the next twelve months. This sharp deterioration in business expectations is a bad omen.American economists believe the Fed will be reactive at its meeting on 20 September, but they doubt the effectiveness of measures taken to revive the business. The survey, closely watched by traders on Wall Street, the trend weakens. Especially when we know that this feeling is shared by consumers, which contributes 70% to U.S. GDP.

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"INTERVIEW:" The stock market overreact "

"The groups are preparing for the 2nd half turbulence

Pierre PRINGUET. – Congratulations to the teams of Pernod Ricard. The group has an excellent performance, with both a strong acceleration of growth of our business and our operating profits. For the first time ever, our net income exceeds one billion euros. These figures show the relevance of our premiumisation strategy and innovation. Our high-end bottles account for 71% of our sales, against 69% last year. Our new products (Wild Tea Absolut, Malibu cocktails …) our limited series and our innovations in advertising and packaging met with success.With a new bottle of Ricard sales increased 5% in France, a market of aniseed stable.

You get ready for a worsening economic environment?

No, I fear neither slowing growth in emerging countries or return to recession in mature markets. The world faces a problem of public debt, with a unique in Greece, the country most fragile. But the political dimension is at least as important as the economic dimension. Everyone was betting on an acceleration of growth in mature markets: the targets are scaled down, but countries will experience low growth in 2011 (1.5 to 2%). And there is no reason for the dynamic growth of emerging countries is slowing. For 2012, the objectives are still serene. IMF sees faster U.S. next year. You can always play to be afraid.But the psychodrama of the summer on the state of the banking system has nothing to do with the situation of 2008 and the general crisis of debt at the time. It is a political problem, but not macro-financial.

There will be no effect on the growth of your business during the current year?

We expect continued moderate growth in mature markets for the fiscal year beginning in July (1.5% last year) and continued strong growth in emerging countries (17% last year) . These will drive our growth: built on solid economic fundamentals, these markets are naturally attracted to our premium brands.

The tension in the markets makes it more difficult to manage your debt?

For our bank debt, we have no due before July 2013.We have an active management of our debt, with two bond issues last year to EUR 1 billion and $ 1 billion respectively. Interest rates remain particularly low, we will seize every opportunity to issue bonds. We will continue our debt reduction, with the aim of achieving 30 June in a net debt / EBITDA of close to 4.

You will be able to resume your acquisition policy …

Does not expect to purchase several billion on 1 July. In the meantime, we will conduct no strategic acquisitions. However, we can make tactical acquisitions, such as tequila Avion in July. It is both a start-up and a brand ultrapremium, sold between 40 and 60 euros a bottle, which allows us to expand our portfolio in the United States.This is the type of operation we will focus in the immediate future. Acquisitions of Brazilian cachaça or baijiu Chinese are possible options. In our business, this is not the type of product that counts, but the brand. Pernod Ricard could also create one from scratch. This is one of the objectives of our internal team called BIG (Breakthrough Innovation Group), whose current head of our German subsidiary, Alain Dufossé, just take the lead.

This summer, Patrick Ricard, non-executive chairman of Pernod Ricard, said at that point the group should aim for first place in the spirits market. What is your strategy to achieve this?

This is the purpose of our project Agility. The goal is not size for size, but the growth momentum. Our sales have grown faster than our competitor's last year. We must repeat that performance this year.We take the market, we are the most innovative, we are well placed to achieve this.

Alexandre Ricard was promoted a few weeks ago. It is well positioned to succeed you …

Two things are certain. One is Alexandre Ricard has an excellent track. That's why I named Executive Vice President in charge of distribution networks. The second is that I leave my post January 31, 2015, when I turn 65, according to the statutes of Pernod Ricard.

The cold snap of the second quarter mainly due to a decline of 0.7% of household consumption. "This is the highest in fifteen years and the third largest drop in consumption in fifty years," notes Laurence Boone, chief economist for Europe Bofa Merrill Lynch. The end of the scrapping weighed heavily on automobile purchases.But the damage is deeper: "Households have reduced their spending in all positions in industrial goods," notes Catherine Stephan, at BNP Paribas.

Now, with an asset growth of 1.4% since early 2011, observers doubt the capacity of France to meet its objectives over the next two years. Jennifer McKeown at Capital Economics, expects no more than 1.5% in 2011, far from the 2% of the government. BNP Paribas, it is hardly more optimistic, showing 1.7%. "To achieve a growth of 1.8% throughout the year, it takes a minium that GDP grew by 0.5% in the third and fourth quarters," said Philippe Waechter, Natixis AM. This is exactly what INSEE predicted in June, before the market crisis.But "given the surveys suggesting a slowdown in July, balances that are a priori not unique and shock the financial markets, an increase of 0.5% in the third quarter was the highest of the range, "he says.

Tax loopholes

Under these conditions, the forecast of 2.25% of GDP growth for 2012, on which the budget was to be built next year, is totally obsolete. "This year we will be online," however, assured Baroin RTL on Friday, saying that "this second quarter, disappointing that the first course, which was far ahead was anticipated."For the Minister of Economy, therefore, "it does not change the matrix on which we are working on the budget."

This position should change Aug. 24, at the meeting at the Elysee, presided over by Nicolas Sarkozy, to wedge the new budgetary decisions. At that time, many expect a downward revision of growth forecasts that will involve … an upward revision of cost savings! "We will no matter what the objective of reducing the public deficit to 5.7% of GDP in 2011 and 4.6% in 2012 to reach the 3% in 2013," insists there be tireless in the entourage the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse. The equation is simple. "A lower growth of 0.25 points in 2011 will not prevent Bercy to meet its objectives for the year. However, at current rates, the deficit is moving more towards 4% of GDP in 2013, "calculates Laurence Boone."To return to the 3% target should be achieving 20 billion in additional savings over two years."

So far, the government planned to cut 3 billion in tax loopholes. He will have to change gear. Philippe Marini, rapporteur of the budget in the Senate, calls for 6 to 10 billion in additional savings. If the final figure is not stalled, the method is refined: there will be a general plane of the tax loopholes, coupled with the removal of some of them, for the sake of "tax justice" according to Bercy. Niches affecting corporate tax for large companies are in the sights and the tax on real estate gains could be reviewed upwards. No question, however, to one year of presidential, touching the 5.5% VAT in catering. A niche that cost 3 billion each year and the economic effects, however, uncertain.

A sustained increase in contrast to the cold reception that investors gave the Fed about tonight: the Central Bank of the United States announced Tuesday it would keep its key interest rate near zero "in least until mid-2013 "and that it was considering new stimulus package to help the economy. These ads have been justified by growth 'considerably slower' than expected and risks "have increased". And investors did not like the Fed is so accommodating, a sign that the economy is really bad.But ultimately, they are relieved that the monetary authorities are behind them.

Also very anxious before the meeting with the Fed, the European and Asian market, have they finally closed in the green after a yoyo session. In Paris the CAC 40 fell below 3,000 points for the first time since July 2009. But the trend seems to have subsided, the indices being pressed into the green in the afternoon.

Global oil demand to decrease

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Tuesday lowered its forecast for growth in global demand for crude in 2011, citing deteriorating macroeconomic outlook in most advanced economies paydayloans. In its monthly report, OPEC reduced its forecast of 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) now and plans for this year growth in global demand of 1.21 million bpd of crude.In financial markets, oil prices ended Tuesday to its lowest level since September 29, 2010, yielding about 2.5%. On the Nymex, the contract on September U.S. crude (WTI) ended on a loss of 2.01 dollars, or 2.47% to 79.30 dollars a barrel. Meanwhile, Brent advanced yielded 1.74%, or 1.81 dollar to 101.93 dollars.

Earlier this afternoon, investors are aware of a new better than expected, but still not glorifying to the future of U.S. growth. Productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, fell at an annual rate of 0.3% over the period April to June after falling 0.6% the previous quarter (revised from 1.8%). The market expected it folds down from 0.8% in the second quarter.

Face communication at high risk of the Fed tonight, "it is clear that the average productivity of U.S. companies in the second quarter is very far from the concerns of the market and will go unnoticed" analysts suggest Aurel BGC. Especially since the figure is clearly negative, the victim of an increasingly weakened growth.

The market capitalization of U.S. computer maker Apple (5.89% to 374.01 dollars) briefly exceeded that of the oil giant ExxonMobbil (2.39% to 71.87 dollars) Tuesday, becoming the company's most expensive the world, said a specialist told AFP. The market capitalization of both groups were around 340 billion dollars in the afternoon in New York, told AFP Volokhine Gregory, head of markets for the company portfolio management Meeschaert New York.That of Apple rose temporarily above that of ExxonMobil to 7:20 p.m..

LE FIGARO. – What is the content of the proposed stimulus package you presented yesterday to the employees of "Parisien in France today?"

Philippe CARLI. – We have decided to invest 30 million euros to develop and diversify our offer. This choice results from the observation that 80% of our revenues come from sales to the number. We must therefore meet the expectations of our readers. The objective is to increase our revenues of 100 million euros on the brand Le Parisien in France today. To retain and expand our audience, we plan to invest ten million euros, with, among others, the creation of a weekly magazine offers.Coupled with the daily on weekends, it will include in the second half of 2012, a news and lifestyle magazine picture of a hundred pages. In a second step could be added a weekly edition of our monthly enriched La Parisienne.

And for everyday?

Besides the fact that the model will be upgraded with a passage of 64 full color pages, we wish to reaffirm our commitment to strengthening our close nine departmental editions (eight departments of the Ile-de-France and the Oise), representing 49% of our sales. We plan to increase their editorial pagination of 50% and increase local resources, including rich media. Finally, to be closer to the cities and communities, we want to enter into agreements with associations, clubs and municipalities.A manager of the communities would be created for each edition.

You also mentioned before the diversification of employees …

Indeed we expect to invest 20 million euros in acquisitions of companies specializing in electronic transactions, including trade between individuals, group purchasing, or even the classifieds. We are also interested in human services.

The envelope of 30 million euros, also includes capital expenditure?

The journal's editorial changes will be accompanied by a modernization of two of our printing presses Saint-Ouen, where we have modernized our mailroom at a cost of 3 million euros. In addition, we invest in our management tools related to our subscribers, our readers and clients.30 to 35 million French people each month are in contact with one of the hallmarks of our group (Le Parisien in France today, the team, Amaury Sport Organisation). It's time to capitalize on these contacts by imagining new offers for our subscribers. I am convinced that this is a very strong leverage income.

Where are you in the digital convergence of your editors?

If there is one place where it is well advanced, it is in our county editions, where journalists play the game But there is still room for improvement, including better integration of information flow and anticipate events . In terms of organization of the group Le Parisien, five major areas should be established, bringing together existing services around cross-cutting issues – news, entertainment and sports – and two that would be created – investigation and image.The realization of any newspaper should be linked to art direction and a cross-media desk would also be created to handle all information and redirect them to different media.

This major reorganization will she downsizing?

It should actually result in the removal of items from 40 to 50 of the 600 employees that has Le Parisien. But I said that my desire is to avoid forced departures. We want to set up a voluntary redundancy plan the details of which will be discussed with the social partners in September.

What functions are involved?

Mainly managerial functions, simplifying the hierarchical organization, and positions related to the achievement of the newspaper.The creation of new centers, in particular survey and image, is expected to provide opportunities in writing to some of those involved. Scribblers writing should not, however, be affected.

On the branch Amaury Sport Organisation (ASO), what are your plans?

We will continue its internationalization. Several opportunities are being explored. We will support the development of ASO in South America, including Brazil, where we opened a subsidiary in late 2010. But also in Spain, where we took a significant stake in the Vuelta, the Tour of Spain. We also plan to organize events around the bike in Qatar and Oman. Discussions are also underway for events in China.

"It is not too strong, but still" hackers announce his tweet before providing a link to the document hacked. "# Apple could also be a target. But do not worry, we're busy elsewhere. # AntiSec "More than the document itself, which contains little information, so it's a threat contained in the forward message Anonymous.

The tweet group of hackers claiming AnonymousIRC attack. DR

"The Franco-French squabbles must end in a good mood and on a voluntary basis, and if it was not the case, it would be always in good spirits but on the basis of instructions. The competition is too fierce, the stakes are too urgent. We must decide and decide now to make choices, "he said. The State may operate the levers being both client and principal shareholder of almost all defense companies: Saffron (30.2%), Thales (27%) and EADS (15%).The government press Safran and Thales to reach agreement on an asset swap. The first showing of the second avionics which, in turn, would become No. 2 worldwide in optronics. Similarly, for drones (pilotless aircraft), the State promotes cooperation. "France needs of global players. It is indisputable for Airbus civil aircraft, Eurocopter helicopters, engines, Safran and Thales in radar, but in defense of Europe pays core rivalry between the Rafale and the Eurofighter. Do not repeat this in the unmanned aircraft. Avoid the Europeans are divided, "said Gerard Longuet on his side. Decided to implement the Franco-British signed in late 2010, the defense minister is expected to announce shortly the creation of a Franco-British combination of branches in Armaments (DGA) on both sides of the Channel.

Two projects of drones

In this context, "Dassault Aviation and EADS have to talk a little more," said Gerard Longuet. Two projects are vying to give the kickoff to the creation of a European industry for so-called drones Male (medium altitude long endurance) by the year 2016-2018: the Telemos, which is the result of an agreement exclusive cooperation between BAE Systems prime contractor for the project, and French Dassault Aviation, systems manager, and the Talarion EADS.

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"Le Bourget, user manual

"The battle began in order Bourget

"This is not a new idea, warned the director in the morning at the microphone of a Europe, for the first time against that as we engage practitioners to advance in this field." One idea already welcomed by Labour Minister Xavier Bertrand, who ruled on Friday that it i-TV should be studied free credit score online. No wonder this: the reform program was already the candidate Nicolas Sarkozy in the 2007 presidential election.

The idea may indeed seem attractive.Two reports published in 2004 while two (one from the Economic Analysis Council on the protection of employment, both of Pierre Cahuc and Francis Kramarz Social Security Professional), as well as the Attali report, the had also called their wish, including with the aim to overcome the strong duality of the labor market. By giving employees rights progressive, the single employment contract is "to fight against the excessive use of fixed-term contracts and temporary," justifies the ANDRH.

A revolution

Source: INSEE

The LSE has also opened lower, the FTSE-100 index lost 0.86% at 7053.75 points. The Dax in Frankfurt following the movement with a decline of 1.74% to 5673 points.

This bad mood, which led to Wall Street and Asian markets this morning in the dark wheel is mainly due to Greece. Indeed, the financial and political situation of the country bogged down. The extraordinary meeting of finance ministers ended in failure Thursday, Europeans who are unable to agree on the role of private creditors in the new relief measures.Meanwhile, violent demonstrations took place before the parliament of the country, forcing the Prime Minister George Papandreou has announced a reshuffle of his government to be held this Thursday, when he called for a vote of confidence in parliament.

Concern has also been strengthened by the publication in the U.S., macroeconomic statistics disappointing. The U.S. recovery has yet shown signs of weakness yesterday, especially in the industry.

Program loaded overseas

This Thursday, in addition to Greece, the eyes are again turned to the United States.The schedule of publications of indicators is still in effect with the American program: the current account of the first quarter, weekly jobless claims, housing starts for new homes and the index of manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia area.

In the euro area, consumer prices rose 2.7% yoy, from 2.8% in April, according to Eurostat's second estimate similar to the first made in late May.

On the currency side, the Greek situation causes the euro down. 11:15 to Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4118 dollars against 1.4182 dollars late Wednesday, after falling to 1.4090 dollars in the morning, the lowest since three weeks. Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded due to bargain hunting.A barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery gained 48 cents to 95.29 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for delivery same progressed from 99 cents to 114 dollars. Investors buy oil after the sharp decline yesterday, which saw prices go below $ 95 a barrel. "We have a return to an area of ​​support that goes back to January 2011. This is especially a key level to advance to the purchase, "said Djillali Hacid, technical analyst at XTB.

Values ​​to follow

Banking

French banking stocks were again attacked on Thursday. They are among the largest declines the CAC 40. Societe Generale lost 3.28% to 37.50 euros, Crédit Agricole loose 2.77% to 9.63 euros, BNP Paribas was down 2.20% to 50.17 euros. Axa and Natixis follow the trend with decreases of 3.60% to 14.60 euros and 1.37% to 3.45 euros.Dexia unscrews for its share of 4.56% to 2.15 euros.

Areva: -2.80% to 25.31 euros Eramet: -1.83% to 217.50 euros

Luke Oursel, deputy CEO of Areva, is the favorite to replace Anne Lauvergeon head of French nuclear specialist, reports the newspaper La Tribune.In addition, the group has extended for six months its shareholders in companies with Eramet Sorame and CEIR representing the shareholders of the family Duvan.

Bull: -1.47% to 4.68 euros

The French computer group announced Thursday a plan to recruit a thousand employees for 2011, including 400 in France, mostly young graduates.

Sanofi: -0.92% to 51.43 euros

The group announced Thursday the signing of a research collaboration of two years with the Dutch biotechnology company Audion Therapeutics for development of potential treatments for hearing loss.

EADS: + 0.65% to 21.53 euros

The low cost carrier Philippine Cebu Air said Thursday it had concluded a $ 3.8 billion with Airbus for an order for 30 A321s and seven A320s.

Renault: -1.16% to 36.27 euros

The Renault-Nissan is about to take control of Russian automaker AvtoVAZ, an acquisition that would propel the world's third largest, said Thursday the Japanese newspaper Nikkei.

L'Oreal: -1.18% to 84.39 euros

The businessman Stephane Courbit explained in a letter to Liliane Bettencourt why he wants to break the financial partnership that had just concluded the boss Lov group and the heir to L'Oreal.

Total: -0.58% to 37.52 euros

The tanker has completed its friendly takeover bid of about $ 1.3 billion U.S. dollars on SunPower, a majority of shareholders of the company specialized in solar panels have agreed to tender their shares.

Eurosic: + 0.56% to 33.99 euros

Batipart, family holding company specializing in real estate, will launch a takeover bid for Eurosic in the coming weeks after the sale and Nexity Bank Palatine of all of their shares in the specialist real estate office.

Vivendi: -0.22% to 18.13 euros

Between September and the summer of 2012, SFR will resume rays telephone 80 Fnac stores in France.

France Telecom: -0.49% to 14.21 euros

The operator announced Wednesday it had issued 670 million euros maturing 2019 and 2021.

Perno Ricard: -0.42% to 66.46 euros

The group announced Wednesday that its board had decided to pay an interim dividend of 67 cents per share.

After market, Zodiac Aerospace Announce Revenues for the third quarter.

"QUIZ Estimate the Cac 40 in late June

On Wednesday, the Tokyo Stock Exchange reacts in turn negatively.The Nikkei, which started on a stable note, losing 0.34% to 9410 points at a time of closing. The index is penalized by lower export values, themselves affected by a further strengthening of the yen against the dollar. The automotive sector is abused, as evidenced by decreases of Honda Motor (-1.46%), Nissan Motor (-1.02%) and Toyota Motor (-0.46%). The title Tepco, very volatile, also weighs on the side with a drop of 9.26%. In its wake, Kansai Electric Power lost 1.55% and Chubu Electric Power 3.21% loose.

Technological side, Sony is gaining 0.44% after introducing its new portable console Vita and its 3D games, while trying to forget the piracy of its network, at its conference held in conjunction with E3, the largest show dedicated to videogames, which opened Tuesday in Los Angeles.Conversely, Nintendo unscrewed from 5.96% after raising the curtain on the new version of its Wii game console, the controller now has a touch screen. Dubbed WiiU, the new console would be launched between April and December 2012, said the Japanese group, without specifying the price.

The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong and Shanghai are also in the red. the Hang Seng lost 0.93% and the Shanghai Composite dropped 0.34%. The banking sector in Hong Kong is attacked, like HSBC Holdings, which fell by 1.06%.Even the movement: the Korean Kospi 1.34% loose, the Australian S & P lost 0.43% and the Indian Sensex down 0.35%.

Oil on a mixed note

Oil prices were without direction Wednesday in electronic trading in Asia, in expectation of an OPEC meeting in Vienna in the day that might decide to increase production.

In morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery took 7 cents 99.16 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for delivery same retreated 48 cents to 116.30 dollars.