A cold shower. Francois Hollande and Jean-Marc Ayrault, the new duo at the head of the executive, could not begin their terms with worse prospects on the employment front. According to the Bureau of Unedic, the unemployment insurance system – that can not be accused of anti-hollandisme since it is composed, for half, representatives of trade unions – the number of registered unemployed in Class A (no activity) should swell to 178,500 in 2012 and then to 128,300 next year. A total of 306,800 additional people in two years, an increase of 10.6% over current levels.

This would be a disaster for the head of state who is committed during the campaign to reverse the unemployment curve, within one year after his election. To revise its forecast of 2012 and first establish financial and employment projections for 2013, services Unedic have incorporated into their models – reliable, in general – the new growth assumptions adopted by the consensus of economists (+ 0 , 3% and +1% of GDP for the current year and the next).

Scenario B more positive

If you look at job seekers who exercised reduced activity (categories B and C), increasing the total number of unemployed in the Hexagon will be even higher than 110,200, representing an increase of 9.7% in two years. Main explanation: the employment should fall further to 91,300 units in two years, bringing to nearly 300,000 the number of jobs destroyed in the Hexagon on the equivalent of a seven-year term. These poor forecasts, if realized, would further aggravate a little hole Unedic whose accumulated deficit frôlerait 18.2 billion euros end 2013. A record.

The new president and his prime minister, however, will find two tiny glimmers of hope in the fifteen pages of notes prediction Unedic. First, the deficit expected in late 2012 was revised downwards (from 1.3 billion euros) compared to recent estimates, established mid-January because of poor advance of revenues and expenditures. Second, the unemployment insurance system has also established a scenario B if growth would be higher in 2012 and 2013 – the bet made by Francois Hollande with the policies he wants to implement.  

If the GDP grew by 0.7% this year and 1.4% in 2013, the rising number of unemployed in Class A would be reduced to 169,200 over two years (half that in the central hypothesis) and the economy would begin to create jobs in 2013, with a positive balance of about 53,300 jobs by the end of next year.

The impact on the finances of Unedic would be immediate: the debt would be reduced to 17.2 billion at end 2013, one billion less than the central scenario. A completely different horizon.

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The CEO of Geodis would flip-flop. According to Libération on Monday, the freight subsidiary of SNCF should ultimately maintain its takeover offer Sernam. "I say again very clearly that we have made an offer with the intention to resume Sernam. [...] We will present in court Tuesday, "assured the head of Geodis, Pierre Blayau.

These comments contrast with those held this weekend in the columns of the Sunday newspaper. Pierre Blayau there considered "not dramatic" the hypothesis of a carrier's bankruptcy. And remember that Geodis accompanied its takeover offer on two conditions.

The first, on the € 642 million illegal aid demanded by Brussels, has been fulfilled. The European Commission agreed Wednesday that the buyer does not inherit Sernam the repayment obligation. But the second, concerning the financial health of the carrier and the state of its cash, however would default. Geodis claimed that Sernam to work only for 30 to 45 days, which would require a cash of about 30 million euros.

Government pressure

Earlier in the week, Pierre Blayau, who considers the financial position of Sernam very poor, had signified to the unions that the recovery was compromised. "It made us realize that it will not be able to maintain its offer," explained Alain told AFP Wednesday Delpuech CGT carrier. According to Libération, Pierre Blayau has even said that the resumption of Sernam could "endanger jobs at Geodis."

For the newspaper, citing several sources, only pressure from the government would explain the reversal of Geodis. "The Elysee has called this weekend for Blayau maintains its offer," says a source close to release the file.

The transport minister, Thierry Mariani, has so far invested actively in this matter. The effect of the liquidation of an enterprise of 1441 employees on the eve of the presidential election is considered disastrous. The Commercial Court of Nanterre travel Tuesday its decision on the future of Sernam.

 

This is the new sensation of the Web. Pinterest is a social network dedicated to the passions of its users. Launched just two years ago in California, the service meets today nearly 12 million unique visitors per month according to Comscore. He topped the 10 million users faster than any independent site before him. This performance earned him today to have the attention of technophiles warned, brands and websites.

Atypical among rising stars in the Web, they are housewives, brides and others have cross stitch who rushed on the first Pinterest. Its advantage: a simple and aesthetic. Its members "pin on" a click of fashion images, decorating and cooking, gleaned from the Web, on a "virtual corkboard". Clicking on the picture, the user is returned to the original site. These collections can be shared with other users who sign up as a Twitter following. In short, the Twitter blog simplified by reducing the notes to short messages of 140 characters and Twitter today Pinterest simplifies by replacing the text and images.

The founders of Pinterest, Ben Silberman, Evan Sharp and Paul Sciarra, is "to connect the world through the objects they find interesting." While services like Facebook play on social ties between people, the founders of Pinterest believe that "a book, a toy or a recipe may be a common bond between two people." The two services are complementary, Pinterest offering content to share with relations built on Facebook paydayloans. Since the launch of an application for Facebook in January, Pinterest saw its daily audience from Facebook to rise by 60%.

15.8 minutes per day

Above all, playing the card of interests, Pinterest wowed an audience engaged and quality. A study by the agency Modea, two thirds of users are women. 28% of members belong to a household whose annual income exceeds $ 100,000. They spend an average of 15.8 minutes per day on Pinterest, is already more than Facebook (12.1 minutes).

For brands, this is a gold mine. Overseas, more than a hundred have created a page on Pinterest. They will present fashion collections (Gap), recipe ideas depending on the season (Whole Foods) or albums more unexpected, like the collection of "literary tattoos" assembled by the publisher Random House. In referring to commercial sites, collected images generate sales and, potentially, affiliate income for Pinterest. This is the strategy already chosen by the competitor Pinterest, TheFancy.com.

Revenue side, there is no urgency for Pinterest which raised $ 27 million in October 2011, bringing to $ 37.5 million in funds raised since its inception. These rounds were an opportunity to enter the capital of eminent members of the "PayPal mafia" like Max Levchin, the cofounder of the online payment service, and Kevin Hartz, one of its investors.

Taking rang in Dubai, where the 2011 Air Show closes today. Contrary to the fears of some, Dubai 2011 has been a vintage correct with more than $ 40 billion of contracts (the rate catalog) reaped in four days by Airbus and Boeing. A good result after the fireworks of the Paris Air Show in June, which had resulted in some 100 billion dollars of contracts for only 72.2 billion Airbus.

Public debt crisis, threat of recession in western countries, job losses in banking, automobile … Nothing seems to affect Airbus and Boeing, who see a looming record year. Like ATR, the world leader in regional aircraft propeller, which flies from strength to strength.With three ATR 42-600 (50 seats) operated by the company in Dubai Siberian North Star, the manufacturer of Toulouse, a subsidiary of EADS and Finmeccanica, accumulated 148 orders since the beginning of the year. Historic levels for ATR and higher than the previous record of 2007 (113 orders). ATR now assumes 80% of the market for new aircraft from 40 to 90 seats, all confused engine (jet or turboprop).

With 221 orders and commitments announced in Dubai for $ 20.5 billion, Airbus also exceeded by mid-November 2011 its goal of 1,500 gross orders. "Our NEO A 320 was again the star of the show," welcomed John Leahy, Airbus chief executive, in charge of clients. Remotorisée version of best-selling Airbus to come into service in 2015, was commissioned to 130 copies in Dubai bringing its backlog to 1420 NEO.

"It's a real passion about." This finding of Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, the environment minister, marked the launch of Focus on the railway in September. This long-term thinking on the proposed liberalization of the rail system should lead to concrete proposals in January. For the railway unions, the project poses a threat of "dismantling of the public rail service" and is "a real danger to the railways in Europe pay day loans." They called for the strike on Tuesday to oppose it.

The gradual introduction of competition in the rail, particularly in regional transport, has long been claimed by the National Federation of Transport Users (FNAUT). "The regional express trains (TER) and the balance of the territory Trains (TET) are not operated by the SNCF," Judge Jean Sivardière, its president.

Creditor banks in Greece will have to accept losses "substantial" in the new bailout of the country, known to be substantially revised over the deteriorating economic situation, warned Saturday the European Ministers of Finance. At a meeting of central bankers in the euro zone on Friday night, "we agreed to say that we had to have a substantial increase in the contribution of the banks' rescue of Greece, as a impairment of their claims, said the leader of European finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker.

According to diplomatic sources, the ministers agreed to effectively negotiate with the banks at a discount of "at least 50%" against a target of 21% decided on July 21 with the banking sector.They thus de facto endorsed the conclusions of an expert report which was presented by the troika of donor funds in Greece (EU, ECB and IMF). The paper believes that a discount of 50 or 60% hope to stabilize Greece without having to increase in the amount of gigantic international loans that have already been promised.

A "discount" is the term used in relation to the financial depreciation of the value of loans taken by creditors in this case private banks and investment funds that hold government debt. A discount of 50% of the private sector, the second program of public financial support pledged July 21 to Greece, however, should be slightly revised upwards with government loans (Europe and IMF) to 114 billion euros, against 109 billion euros at the time scheduled.To maintain the envelope of 109 billion euros unchanged, it would bring the discount to 60%, according to calculations by experts.

"It is also an effort by the private sector"

In any event, the second bailout in late July, just after the first amounting to 110 billion euros agreed in spring 2010, will have to be redesigned. "It's pretty clear that we need a substantial discount on Greek debt," also said Saturday the Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg on his arrival in Brussels for a meeting with colleagues from across the EU."We will now work on a new plan in Greek and this new plan is true that there is a substantial effort to Greece again, there is an effort by European countries and will also require an effort of the private sector" said his Belgian counterpart Didier Reynders.

The question is whether the banks that have so far dragged its feet to give the pot, will accept a negotiated settlement does not pass through a default of Greece said "messy" serious consequences. "It's a negotiation s'entame," said Didier Reynders. In return for the effort required on the Greek claims, it is intended to recapitalize European banks to the tune of nearly 100 billion euros.The subject was Saturday in the agenda of the ministerial meeting, before a meeting in the evening between French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the EU summit on Sunday.

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The fear of a slowing Chinese economy weigh on Asian stock markets. On Tuesday, the day after a session, however encouraging, the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong and Shanghai Composite Index unleash respectively 3.52% and 1.52 points to 18,209.70% to 2403.32 points. Investors react to the publication of a slowdown in Chinese growth to 9.1% in the third quarter, against 9.7% and 9.5% in the first and second quarters.After this bad figure, other regional financial centers are also displayed down: the Nikkei of the Tokyo Stock Exchange lost 1.55% to 8741.91 points, the Kospi index in Seoul fell by 1.51% to 1837.01 points, the S & P / ASX 200 Index yields 2.07% at Sydney 4186.90 points, the BSE Sensex 30 in Mumbai plaice 1.73% to 16,730.10 points and the FTSE Straits Times of Singapore gives up 1.81% to 2728 , 55 points.

"Economic growth is currently facing a more complicated on both external and internal plans," said the spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Sheng Laiyun commenting on the growth of China. In fact, Chinese exporters are beginning to suffer from particular sovereign debt crisis in Europe, their largest market, a difficult economic situation in the United States.The Chinese economy is also impacted by rising wages and strong yuan, has appreciated by 7% in a year against the dollar. "The number of factors of instability and uncertainty increases," says Sheng Laiyun.

The concern weighing on Europe

In this context, the correct figures for China's industrial production have gone unnoticed. This has increased by 13.8% in September year on year, according to BNS.

In addition, concerns about the debt crisis in Europe grew yesterday and weigh Surles markets payday loan lenders. The German Minister of Economics Wolfgang Schäuble has indeed warned that the EU summit to be held in Brussels Sunday will not lead to a definitive solution to the debt crisis. And, while the central bankers of the euro zone had promised a response "comprehensive and lasting peace" to the crisis at the G20 finance this weekend in Paris.

China Eastern Airlines to Hong Kong and Tepco

On the corporate side, China Eastern Airlines (-9.82% to 2.57 Hong Kong dollars) on Monday announced an agreement to acquire 15 Airbus A330 family for a selected list price of $ 2.5 billion, for delivery between 2013 and 2015.

The action of the firm Olympus camera dropped by a further 8.87% to 1.417 yen to the Tokyo Stock Exchange, bringing to 43% since the sudden collapse of his dismissal Friday of its British CEO accused of mismanagement President Honorary Japanese company.

Note that Tepco, the operator of the nuclear accident in Fukushima, yields 1.38% in Tokyo, after asking the first tranche of public assistance of some 700 billion yen (6.7 billion euros) for finance part of the compensation of victims, according to Japanese media on Tuesday.

On the front of currencies, the euro rose 0.28% to 1.377 dollars on Tuesday. Oil is meanwhile down in Asia after the confirmation of a slowdown in Chinese growth in the third quarter against a backdrop of skepticism about a speedy resolution of sovereign debt crisis in the euro area. The barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November, up in the early electronic trading, lost 9 cents to 86.29 dollars, around 6:00.

From our special correspondent in Wroclaw.

The Europeans hoped "a dialogue between friends," the Americans had "no arrogance." Las. With the destabilization of markets and growing concern on both sides of the Atlantic, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner, could not resist lecturing his seventeen counterparts in the euro area gathered Friday to Wroclaw (Poland).

The relief provided by five central banks – including the U.S. Fed – banks in the euro area will not long concealed the absence of concerted policy response to the crisis. On behalf of the Europeans, the President of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker declined projects Tim Geithner, citing "differences in approach with our American colleagues."Treasury Secretary, he has put his finger where the euro hurts: he publicly expressed concern "of the conflict between governments and the European Central Bank," a week after the sensational resignation of the Chief Economist of the ECB .

Barack Obama's America, soon launched a presidential campaign, fearing a collapse of Greece, a contagion to European banks and a possible fracture of the euro area. If the crisis deepens, it is the U.S. economy would suffer the backlash, shock reverse of that which had hit Europe after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

The first message in Washing-ton is to push the Europeans to speak with one voice and act decisively. "Governments and the Central Bank should work together (…) to avoid catastrophic risks for financial markets," said Treasury Secretary.And he insists, denouncing the cacophony that destabilizes the common currency: "Everyone should also abstain from loose talk about the end of the euro area." Targeted: the proponents of expulsion from Greece …

Denial of a tax on financial transactions

The unprecedented invitation launched by Poland – host country because currently presiding the EU – Timothy Geithner had anything to embarrass, in turmoil, the finance ministers of the euro no fax payday loan. We saw Baroin host the head of U.S. Treasury of a strong handshake in Wroclaw. But the Euro has carefully kept at a distance. He has not formally participated in the circle, but a "preliminary conversation" about an hour. Contrary to custom, he did not sent to journalists.To tell his truths to Europe, he preferred an audience of bankers in another part of town.

Some did not take gloves to say that Europe has no lessons to learn. The United States, collapsing under the deficits should put their own house, says the Belgian Didier Reynders. "America has nothing to dictate when the person refuses flatly our suggestions," added the Austrian Maria Fekter. It is true that Tim Geithner repeated Friday his opposition front to the tax on financial transactions carried to Paris, Berlin and Brussels.

Decisions deferred

For the second time in eight days, Treasury Secretary left Europe empty-handed. Friday, the Europeans have made a face at her suggestion to "leverage" means the EFSF, the bailout fund for countries of the euro in difficulty."This is not a subject that is discussed with a country outside the EU," Jean-Claude Juncker meant. Same end of inadmissibility of the American idea of ​​supporting the growth of public funds "even a donkey does not stumble twice on the same stone, 'says Didier Reynders, convinced of the urgency to fight first against the deficits.

For the Americans as to Europeans, the European event in Wroclaw ends with a disturbing sense of incompleteness, even for emergencies. The Eurogroup has pushed to mid-October a decision on payment of 8 billion euros to Greece. He did not reach an agreement on guarantees that Finland requires Greece.

Half of the historic buildings owned by private individuals. Listed or registered, these buildings are part of the national heritage and the 1913 law on historic monuments, heritage built into the Code, provides the financial support of private actors to help their conservation.

Owners who wish to make a historic monument restoration work can get state funds through the Regional Directorates of Cultural Affairs (DRAC) and regional and general councils. The granting of funds by the first condition for most of the time the agreement of local authorities.

Restoring an identical

The first step is to validate the work projects by the DRAC. An architect of the buildings in France will check that it is a restoration project at the same rather than maintenance and repair ordinary.The architect must also approve the selection of the contractor responsible for carrying out the work. It must have certification awarded by Qualibat every five years.

Permission to work obtained it takes on average within six months – the owner can take the steps to apply for funding from the regional conservation of historical monuments, decentralized service of the Ministry of Culture responsible for allocating the funds allocated each year by the state. The need to restore or the urgency of intervention, will be crucial in the decision. The DRAC Ile-de-France added that the progress of the project is also examined.Hence the importance of presenting a solid case together with plans, photos, specifications, implementation schedule work …

The association La Demeure Historique, one of the two organizations accredited by the state, began to identify in a report the amount of financing obtained by the private owners of historic buildings through co-financing public (state and region). The latest figures available are for 2008 and set the total amount of funding allocated by the DRAC to 20.5 million euros, 15 million for listed buildings and 5.5 million for the monument included in the supplementary inventory.An amount up slightly from 2007 but well behind the 30 million allocated in 2000.

Isabelle de Charnace, following the request for public subsidies for La Demeure Historique association, said the 1913 law provides for the payment of a grant of up to 40% of the total work to a listed building and 15 % for a monument inscribed payday loan. "In practice, it is far from reaching these numbers consistently, but it is important to get not even one euro of subsidy," said she. The downstream of the DRAC has a twofold consequence. The first is tax because it qualifies for the tax deduction of 100% of the work. Without subsidies, the owner has the right to deduct only half.The second is that it generally serves as a passport to get help from the regions and departments.

Regions and departments

Figures published in the report of La Demeure Historique reveal a variety of situations from one region to another. In 2008, 11 of the 21 regions surveyed (the data on Corsica and overseas territories are not included), have paid any subsidy. In 2010, the number rose to 14. According to the association, this disengagement is due to the fact that the regions consider that they must give priority to financing the public patrimony. They also prefer to intervene to save the monuments unclassified through the Heritage Foundation.According to the latest figures only 55 operations have been financed by the regional councils in 2008, against 197 in 2005.

The total amount of aid allocated, however, is virtually unchanged: 3.310 million euros in 2005 and 3.206 million euros in 2008. The award criteria are also very different from one region to another, some requiring the opening scene to the public, participation in events, or the mere possibility of admiring the monument from the public way. In 2008, the regions with the most generous private monuments were Auvergne (2 million for 28 projects), Britain (547,000 euros for 19 projects) and Haute-Normandie (340 000 euros for a project).

As for general tips, 28 of the 87 who responded to questionnaires (out of 91 respondents) did not grant any subsidy to private monuments.Four departments have even enacted regulations removing the ability to finance operations of tells. They are still more generous than the regions participating in the total funding of 475 operations for 6.734 million euros. An amount in free fall over the year 2003, when county councils were given more than ten million.

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The majority union of airline pilots, the SNPL, announced Thursday night that he raised his notice for the strike that was scheduled for August 5 to 8. This announcement follows the government's decision to follow the recommendations of the mediator.

In its report issued on Thursday, the mediator Raphaël Hadas-Lebel makes proposals for the reform of the pension fund of the crew – and the conflict is necessary because the reserves are diminishing – is done in a more progressive, giving more visibility long term and encourages staff to extend their business no fax payday loans.

In the wake of the submission of this report, Xavier Bertrand and Thierry Mariani sent a letter Thursday to the unions.Proposals Raphael Hadas-Lebel "seem integrate the concerns of various parties" and "achieve a balanced reform bill," wrote the Ministers of Labour and Transport, who are committed to apply on January 1.

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