Investor sentiment is supported by the information including the Italian newspaper La Stampa over the weekend that the IMF could provide assistance to Italy up to 600 billion if the debt crisis of the countries would increase. This would allow Italy to have a window of 12 to 18 months to implement budget cuts and reforms to strengthen economic growth. The information, which was denied by the United States, is again the IMF itself, which says this morning that no discussions with the Italian authorities have in that place.The worsening financial crisis in the eurozone weighed on the outlook for sovereign debt rating of all European countries, the rating agency warned Monday payday loans lenders.

The oil rises

In this context, the euro is progressing slowly against the greenback. In morning trading, the European currency is worth 1.3310 dollars. Oil is well oriented: a barrel of "light sweet crude" (WTI) for delivery in January of $ 1.63 is assessed at 98.40 dollars on the New York Mercantile Exchange and Brent crude from the sea North for the same maturity is 1.20 dollar to 107.60 dollars on the Intercontinental Exchange in London.

Side of the agenda, the economic outlook of the OECD are expected in the morning. Sales of new homes in the United States will be known in the afternoon.

In Japan, however, the Nikkei has tried the rebound during the session payday loans. He finished last in equilibrium, a small loss of 0.06% to 8160.01 points, supported by the securities industry exporters. The latter benefit from a surge in the dollar against the domestic currency, above the 77 yen. Nikon gained 2.84%, Mitsubishi 3.41% and 1.06% Fujifilm. The action Olympus continues to rise after having earned 17% yesterday. The title was up 5.69%. The broader Topix index has in turn taken up 0.07% to finish at 706.60 points.

Today, the colorful businessman, actor and son return to the front of the stage. Their new project? Redeem the U.S. site online poker, Full Tilt Poker, which was still number two global market last year with 4 million active players, half out of the United States. "It was then after-tax profits of about $ 150 million," says Bernard Tapie in Figaro.

Attention GBT (Groupe Bernard Tapie) would not be alone in this.It would provide only 5 to 10% of $ 80 million needed to use this company. The other shareholders are primarily interested in American casinotier diversify into online poker. Financially, Tapie have the means to their ambitions. Longer insolvent, the former president of the OM was compensated in 2008 to 220 million euros in the case that pitted for fifteen years at Credit Lyonnais in connection with the sale of Adidas. And now his fortune is estimated at 260 million.

However, the case against Full Tilt Poker is far from complete. "In one month to six weeks, we will decide with our partners if we acquire this site," suggests Bernard Tapie. This file is exceedingly complicated. The site has been closed since April 15.

Few people see it as a sensitive topic. Employees who never raise this issue at work (38% of respondents) said first adopt this attitude of discretion, because they feel that their political views do not watch them. They are only 22% see it as a source of conflict, and 7% fear that their careers will be affected by the opinions they have issued.

However, many employees perceive that the limits are not exceeded.A large majority (60%) judge and moved to a colleague to explain why he should vote for a candidate or party rather than another. Similarly, distributing a leaflet, wear a badge or paste a poster on the politically charged workplace is overwhelmingly considered unacceptable.

If the policy is no longer taboo, employees are also not willing to discuss the subject with anyone. Colleagues are privileged interlocutors. In contrast, only 29% of respondents speak with their political boss, and 15% with customers of their business.

* Poll conducted from September 21 to 29, 2011 among a sample of 1013 employees and officials.

"Testimonials – And you, are you talking about politics at work? Speak your political opinions? Are you afraid to be detrimental to your career? Share your experience in comments below or by email at temoin@lefigaro.fr.

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Technically complex and politically inglorious to the extent that members of the euro area rely on foreign savings failing to show solidarity with each other, the project outlined this weekend in Brussels would be a real barrier fire.The strike force "would be the height of Spain and Italy," said Gilles Moec, an economist at Deutsche Bank in London.

The proposed scheme is to leverage both the capabilities of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) and to mobilize capital from financial surplus. First and foremost, China and emerging countries but also in advanced economies such as Norway and Japan. These contribute in trusts, administered primarily by the IMF, which will not put himself in the pot, says we are.

The highlight of his EFSF 440 billion euros, which have been entrusted by the countries of the euro area – the envelope will remain unchanged – no longer be content to make its guarantee to the issuance of securities, as it has already done for Ireland and Portugal.It will also play the role of "credit enhancer," according to a model used in the United States, for better or for worse, for local authorities and housing loans. This type of intervention will return to ensure a certain percentage of potential losses to purchasers of government securities guaranteed payday loan. A new role for the EFSF: "He was supposed to guarantee loans, it would ensure ex post losses," said Bruno Cavalier, economist at Oddo Securities.

Assembly at several levels

Klaus Regling, the director of EFSF, was responsible for establishing an assembly at several levels in order to create a maximum leverage. According to the recipe holdings cascade in private groups.

On one level will be set up special funds supplied in part by the EFSF, which would bring its security, and other states.On a second level, you will find a special fund involving purely European private capital, always with the guarantee of EFSF. A third channel is considered, on the same principle, but this time shareholders will be provided by non-European states, in a "trust" administered by the IMF – what others call a "special investment vehicle". Note that the IMF has experience of this device, through the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust, which raised $ 13 billion for the poorest countries.

No one seems yet able to determine the exact allocation of funds that could be offered. Knowing that it is 250 billion euros of capital available, according to a diplomat, the EFSF would likely raise at least five times that amount on the basis of an insurance rate of 20%. Many technical issues remain.In particular the involvement of such a system on the debt of the guarantor countries, including France and its "triple A".

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"A plan to support Italy would be in the study

At the height of the economic crisis between 2008 and 2009, the number of unemployed youth had increased in an unprecedented way: 4.5 million additional young people came to swell the numbers of job seekers, when the average change is usually the order of 100,000 people a year. Since then, youth unemployment has dropped. In 2010, he touched 75.1 million people, or an unemployment rate of 12.7%. In 2011, this trend will continue according to the ILO, and the number of unemployed youth as low as 74.6 million people, 12.6%.

But this is good news in appearance, the organization warns. These good figures actually underestimate the extent of a growing number of unemployed youth withdrawing from the labor market, discouraged. The rate of young workers fell from 49.4% in 2009 to 48.8% in 2010. In Ireland, the same phenomenon would reach dramatic proportions. By including the discouraged unemployed, the rate of youth unemployment, which rises already at 27.5% (against 9% in 2007), culminate in fact almost 47% payday loans with no fax. Similarly in China, Austria and Hong Kong, the real unemployment rate is double the official figure.

"More difficult years"

As for those who manage to integrate the labor market, what they find is often "less than ideal."Part-time, for example, rose sharply, by nearly 9 percentage points in Spain, 17 points in Ireland … "The magnitude of the peak recorded since the beginning of the economic crisis suggests that many young people have taken what they could find. This is confirmed by the increase in the rate of underemployment among young people, "the report said.

And the future painted by the ILO is not much brighter. "Uncertainty in the economic environment, coupled with the greater sensitivity of youth unemployment in the economy makes the recovery in employment for this category highly uncertain. This can announce several more difficult years, "says the ILO. The organization also warns governments continuing economic difficulties could generate a distrust of young people towards political and economic systems."This factor played an undeniable role in the Arab Spring," says the ILO.

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In the early morning, Prime Minister Iveta Radicova recognized that there was still no agreement in favor of a positive vote. The government could be forced to get a favorable vote, to offer in exchange for the organization of early elections.That is to scuttle.

Slovakia is the last state to ratify the agreement of 21 July, which must be adopted unanimously by the seventeen member countries of the euro area to take effect. If the vote is negative, in a few hours, the shock could be severe in the financial markets. Sole ground of hope, the Slovak parliamentary system allows in case of negative vote of Parliament to seek a second, which may occur on weekends and offer a last chance for negotiations.

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U.S. investors have not received so favorably that the approval on Thursday afternoon of the German parliament to extend the relief fund of the euro area (EFSF).

U.S.: GDP growth rate revised upwards

On the macroeconomic front, the growth rate of GDP of the United States has been officially revised up Thursday, slightly more than analysts thought.Second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product grew 1.3% annualized compared to the previous three months, said the Commerce Department, revising and up 0.3 point its growth estimate released in late August .

On a seasonally adjusted, new jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 391,000 in the week of 18 to 24 September, against 428,000 the previous week.

Real estate side, the promise of sale of existing homes fell in August from 1.2% to 88.6, its lowest level since April. Economists polled by Reuters were expecting a sharper decline at -1.8%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro rose to 1.3593 displayed dollar (0.50%).A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November gained 93 cents to 82.14 dollars on the New York Mercantile Exchange where he had opened up more than two dollars.

Values ​​follow:

• LyondellBasell (-4.03% to 26.65 dollars)

French employees of the American specialist petrochemical voted on Thursday extended for 24 hours of their strike and blockade on all Group units in Berre (Bouches-du-Rhône), due to the closure of the refinery . Meeting in mid-day general meeting, they voted the renewal of the movement by a large majority.

• Advanced Micro Devices (-13.66% to 5.31 dollars)

The U.S. manufacturer of microprocessors said Wednesday it lowered its forecast for revenue and gross margin for the third quarter, partly because of production problems at a plant in Germany unsecured personal loans.The group now expects its revenue for the quarter ended October 1, increase by 4 to 6% over the second quarter against a previous forecast of 8 to 12%.

• Amazon (-3.16% to 222.44 dollars)

Internet group Amazon introduced its first multimedia tablet Wednesday, the Fire Kindle, sold half as much as the market leader, Apple's iPad, which promises to be a credible competitor. Sold $ 199 (against at least 499 dollars for an iPad) as of November 15, exclusively in the United States as a first step, the Kindle Fire is part of the range of reading lights Amazon Kindle has been declining for four years.

• Hewlett-Packard (2.54% to 23.78 dollars)

The U.S. computer group used the services of investment bank Goldman Sachs to help it defend itself against a possible hostile bid, said Wednesday the Wall Street Journal.Weakened by the collapse of its share price and the recent upheaval at the helm, the group was concerned that one or more shareholders trying to take control, the newspaper business, citing people familiar with the matter.

• Nokia (3.96 to 5.77 dollars)

The world of mobile phones said Thursday it plans to eliminate 3,500 jobs in Romania, Germany and the United States by the end of next year."Nokia plans to close its operations in Cluj, Romania, by the end of 2011 (…) and plans to close (its offices and commercial activities) in Bonn, Germany and Malvern, United States," by the end of next year, the company said in a statement.

• Ford (0.70% to $ 10)

The automaker plans to hire 7,000 people within two years the United States, ruling that the U.S. economy do not wipe recession.

• General Motors (1.71% to 20.76 dollars)

The group said Thursday that the new contract four-year agreement with the United Auto Workers (UAW) would have a financial impact "minimal".

To do so, Medicare will benefit from additional revenue: it will recover much of the 10 billion of additional levies announced in late August, by François Fillon. But it will also make an effort on his expenses.The aim will be to contain their rising to 2.8% (against 2.9% this year), which means 2.2 billion savings from the spontaneous progression.

The distribution of these savings will be presented Thursday by the government, which unveiled the outline of the proposed 2012 budget of Social Security, along with the latest forecasts of deficit, which is less than 18 billion euros for 2011. It's the drug industry that should be first put to use.

Price reductions, which in recent years revolved around 500 million euros a year, this year will be closer to 650-700 million, according to notifications sent to laboratories already. The delisting will be added.

Whereas in the past it was often compromised, including inventing a "orange sticker" reimbursed by the social security 15%, the government should not hesitate this time to completely delisted drugs ineffective quick guaranteed personal loans.

The warning laboratories

Mediator since the affair, the French no longer have absolute faith in drugs, which should make it less difficult such a measure. Benefit Schedule: as price reductions, the exclusions from reimbursement are also savings in complementary, as they also leave the drugs in question from the list of products they support.Now the government wants reconciliation with the complementary, after having inflicted one billion euros in additional tax.

Leem, the association of laboratories and underlines that these measures in 2012 will coincide with the expiration of many patents, according to his representative estimates 1.2 billion in sales, against an average of 700 to 800 million the previous year.Add to this bill on the drug prepared by the Minister Xavier Bertrand after the scandal of the Mediator, Leem fear next year an unprecedented decline-of-sales of the pharmaceutical industry, which could reach a % or 2%.

In addition, samples should increase: for, an increase in the special tax on the turnover of laboratories (currently set at 1%, it could return to its former level, or 1.7%) and contribute indirectly to fund new training for doctors, via the state.

Leem warned against further reductions, particularly among sales representatives, and against a "climate of distrust" that would push the major international laboratories to prefer other countries to invest in research or production.

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• Central banks have put out the fire. Policy is to act.

To rebound, stock markets were expecting a strong gesture. A kind of kick in the bottom of the pool after the distressing spectacle of the leaders of member countries of the euro unable to agree on rescue Greece. The first impetus was given by central banks that have decided to tackle the funding problems of European banks. By providing all the liquidity they need dollars, they have the most urgent and avoided a new banking crisis. But the most difficult tasks lie ahead.For central banks are independent organizations, they therefore have the flexibility of movement that do not have the seventeen Member States of the euro. Now it is in the field of European governance, the ability of states to reduce their debt and the solidity of the European financial stability that is expected the euro area. Subjects whose implementation is far from certain and have not finished putting markets under pressure.

• Focus on growth, defensive stocks do not pay more.

The crash of August brought down one of the last great stock market myth: the resilience of defensive stocks in times of crisis. The numbers speak for themselves: Veolia Environnement and Suez, specializing in utilities, a sector traditionally very defensive, yielded 42 and 20% over the last three months.EDF and GDF Suez lost their next 18 and 12%. France Telecom, Vivendi and Vinci also fell sharply. During the summer, these values ​​have not only shown no ability to resist, but they often fell as much as "cyclical" as Lafarge, ArcelorMittal, Saint-Gobain or Peugeot. The only values ​​that really are resilient growth companies in these emerging countries have low debt and strong brands. LVMH is the case, Essilor International, SEB, Air Liquide, Bic or Hermes International. The clear market preference for growth stocks at the expense of defense is not surprising in times of crisis. It is precisely because investors fear a slowdown in the richer countries, that growth is so sought after by scholars.The famous guru of Wall Street, the American Peter Lynch, who long prospered the famous Magellan fund, has shown: in the long run, only the values ​​of growth are able to enrich shareholders. His motto: there is no fortune by multiplying the stock market moves, but the success by joining the best companies at the time.

• Economists fear a growing recession in the United States.

The euro crisis is not the only concern of the operators. According to a survey by the Wall Street Journal on a panel of 53 economists, they believe that there is one chance in three that the United States fell into recession in the next twelve months. This sharp deterioration in business expectations is a bad omen.American economists believe the Fed will be reactive at its meeting on 20 September, but they doubt the effectiveness of measures taken to revive the business. The survey, closely watched by traders on Wall Street, the trend weakens. Especially when we know that this feeling is shared by consumers, which contributes 70% to U.S. GDP.

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